Wilmington (OH)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 634 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 604 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 767 (#688) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#300) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.9 (#635) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#643) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#735) | AdjNet -55.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#731) | AdjNet -54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#724) | AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.138 (#683) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.069 (#678) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 582 (#521) | RD 116 | GP 23 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-08 | @ | Saint Michael's | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | Saint Rose | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2019-11-14 | vs | West Chester | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2019-11-20 | @ | Mercy | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Daemen | L | 51 - 83 |
| 2019-12-03 | @ | Jefferson | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2019-12-07 | vs | Holy Family | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2019-12-16 | @ | Millersville | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2020-01-02 | vs | New York Tech | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | Bloomfield | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2020-01-08 | vs | Georgian Court | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Felician | W | 89 - 59 |
| 2020-01-21 | vs | USciences | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Alliance | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2020-01-29 | @ | Holy Family | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Post | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2020-02-04 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Caldwell | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2020-02-12 | vs | Jefferson | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Concordia (NY) | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | USciences | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2020-02-26 | @ | Georgian Court | L | 78 - 94 |
| 2020-02-29 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 70 - 73 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.