Wilmington (OH)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 634 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 604 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 767 (#688) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#300) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.9 (#635) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#643) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#735) | AdjNet -55.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#731) | AdjNet -54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#724) | AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.138 (#683) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.069 (#678) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 582 (#521) | RD 116 | GP 23 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Stonehill | L | 39 - 92 |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Dist. Columbia | L | 59 - 81 |
| 2018-11-14 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 38 - 80 |
| 2018-11-16 | vs | Bridgeport | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Clarion | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2018-11-20 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2018-11-28 | @ | Molloy | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-04 | vs | Jefferson | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 54 - 76 |
| 2018-12-19 | @ | Holy Family | W | 65 - 49 |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Hofstra | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2018-12-31 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | L | 65 - 100 |
| 2019-01-02 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 84 - 81 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Alliance | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Concordia (NY) | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | USciences | L | 39 - 83 |
| 2019-01-22 | vs | Chestnut Hill | L | 62 - 92 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Post | W | 100 - 94 |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | Jefferson | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Caldwell | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2019-02-07 | vs | Dominican (NY) | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Felician | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Georgian Court | L | 57 - 84 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Bloomfield | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2019-02-19 | vs | USciences | L | 39 - 55 |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | Chestnut Hill | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2019-02-27 | vs | Holy Family | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 69 - 73 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.