Wilmington (OH)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 634 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 604 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 767 (#688) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#300) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.9 (#635) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#643) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#735) | AdjNet -55.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#731) | AdjNet -54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#724) | AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.138 (#683) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.069 (#678) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 582 (#521) | RD 116 | GP 23 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Mercy | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Molloy | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2015-11-18 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | L | 92 - 96 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | USciences | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 71 - 48 |
| 2015-12-08 | vs | Jefferson | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-14 | vs | Cheyney | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2015-12-16 | vs | Chestnut Hill | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-20 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-03 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | Bloomfield | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Caldwell | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-12 | vs | Post | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Holy Family | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | Concordia (NY) | W | 77 - 43 |
| 2016-01-26 | @ | Jefferson | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Dominican (NY) | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | USciences | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Alliance | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-09 | @ | Chestnut Hill | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Felician | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-23 | vs | Holy Family | L | 64 - 76 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.