Wilmington (OH)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2015 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 634 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 604 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 767 (#688) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#300) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.9 (#635) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#643) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#735) | AdjNet -55.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#731) | AdjNet -54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#724) | AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.138 (#683) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.069 (#679) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 578 (#519) | RD 116 | GP 23 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-14 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 46 - 91 |
| 2014-11-15 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2014-11-20 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2014-11-22 | @ | Mercy | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2014-11-25 | @ | USciences | L | 62 - 88 |
| 2014-11-28 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Preview |
| 2014-11-29 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2014-12-03 | vs | Chestnut Hill | - | Preview |
| 2014-12-06 | @ | Post | - | Preview |
| 2014-12-10 | @ | Holy Family | L | 70 - 93 |
| 2014-12-17 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2015-01-03 | @ | Bloomfield | L | 52 - 82 |
| 2015-01-07 | vs | Jefferson | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2015-01-10 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-13 | @ | Georgian Court | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-14 | @ | Delaware St. | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2015-01-22 | vs | Holy Family | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-25 | vs | Alliance | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-29 | @ | Chestnut Hill | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2015-01-31 | @ | Concordia (NY) | W | 74 - 49 |
| 2015-02-03 | @ | Jefferson | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2015-02-07 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2015-02-10 | vs | USciences | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2015-02-14 | @ | Felician | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-18 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-21 | vs | Caldwell | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-24 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
2015 Roster
No roster data available for this season.