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Wilmington (OH)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wilmington (OH)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 962 (#439) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 962 (#420) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 949 (#606) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.0 (#132) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.4 (#425) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.294 (#603) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +27.0 More → 0.951 (#8) NetEff +27.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.3 More → 0.278 (#472) AdjNet -8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More → 0.270 (#472) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 79.8 More → 0.370 (#464) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 79.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 82.0 More → 0.489 (#432) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 82.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.432 (#452) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.435 (#456) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 965 (#415) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Earlham W 94 - 80
2025-11-15 @ Wittenberg L 65 - 82
2025-11-19 vs Anderson (IN) L 75 - 77
2025-11-25 @ Bethany (WV) W 109 - 101
2025-11-29 vs Mt. St. Joseph L 77 - 79
2025-12-06 vs Heidelberg L 82 - 87
2025-12-10 @ Ohio Northern W 88 - 78
2025-12-14 vs Oberlin L 75 - 83
2025-12-17 @ Adrian W 97 - 75
2025-12-29 @ Calvin L 78 - 87
2025-12-30 @ Mount Aloysius W 108 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Marietta W 85 - 77
2026-01-07 vs Capital W 94 - 89
2026-01-10 vs Mount Union L 77 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Muskingum L 90 - 113
2026-01-17 @ Baldwin Wallace L 63 - 75
2026-01-21 vs Otterbein L 74 - 84
2026-01-24 @ Heidelberg L 90 - 92
2026-01-28 @ Capital W 101 - 93
2026-02-04 vs Ohio Northern L 70 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Marietta W 85 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Domenic Farley - 21 25.4 15.3 3.2 2.3 1.2 0.1 1.4 11.7 9.1 -2 -0.1 -0.7 47.8 31.9 85.1 0.53 58.5 53.9
Elijah Cathey - 21 26.6 14.9 5.7 2.4 1.1 0.6 1.4 11.2 12.0 1 0.0 0.3 52.3 35.1 75.4 -1.26 59.6 56.6
Izaiah Cathey - 21 24.5 12.8 4.2 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.4 9.7 10.1 68 3.2 21.3 52.2 27.7 72.9 1.94 58.5 55.4
Ben Golan - 19 21.4 10.5 3.5 1.3 0.6 1.2 1.3 7.7 8.0 -7 -0.4 -2.2 52.4 34.6 70.6 -0.73 58.7 55.4
Matt DeBrosse - 21 19.0 8.5 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.0 1.1 7.3 5.1 -21 -1.0 -8.3 41.8 28.4 74.4 0.41 52.1 48.0
Gabe Green - 21 19.5 7.4 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.0 5.1 5.7 25 1.2 8.3 54.2 41.9 71.0 4.37 64.7 62.6
Carson Miles - 21 20.9 5.9 2.5 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.7 6.4 4.3 -28 -1.3 -12.6 32.1 28.0 77.4 -1.01 42.0 37.3
Zach McGuirt - 19 15.8 4.5 3.3 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.8 3.5 5.1 20 1.1 30.1 43.9 40.6 78.9 2.27 57.8 53.8
Kellen Baltazar - 21 8.7 2.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.2 28 1.3 39.2 34.7 28.1 66.7 -0.29 44.7 43.9
Logan McIntosh - 2 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
QuiRaun Pressley - 5 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.0 0.2 -15 -3.0 -85.9 20.0 0.0 66.7 -0.12 31.6 20.0
Jed Smith - 21 6.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.0 11 0.5 12.7 32.3 31.0 0.0 -0.58 45.5 46.8
Zach King - 19 7.7 1.1 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.3 -49 -2.6 -52.5 28.6 0 57.1 -2.57 43.0 28.6
Tristan Morgan - 3 3.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Collin Barker - 14 5.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.6 -27 -1.9 -153.6 27.8 8.3 0 1.62 30.6 30.6
Otto Cipollini - 9 4.4 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.4 5 0.6 31.1 50.0 0 0.0 0.48 43.6 50.0
Marty Bass - 7 3.3 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 17 2.4 88.5 50.0 0 50.0 0.79 53.2 50.0
Mauricio Diaz - 4 4.5 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 -4 -2.0 -61.1 11.1 0.0 0 0.3 11.1 11.1
Larkin Friend - 1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Chris Powers - 1 2.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG