Wilmington (DE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#608) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#509) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#97) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.148 (#611) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#265) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.316 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#266) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.306 (#441) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#337) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#439) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#588) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.250 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 871 (#442) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Denison | L | 46 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Earlham | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Eureka | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Calvin | L | 51 - 82 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Berea | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 40 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mount Union | L | 44 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Muskingum | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 46 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Otterbein | L | 42 - 74 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Capital | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 39 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Marietta | L | 64 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Altstaette | - | 1 | 33.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 60.0 | - | 58.6 | 57.1 |
| TyKeisha Hill | - | 1 | 24.3 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| Stephanie Altstaetter | - | 16 | 28.0 | 14.6 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 11.8 | 12.3 | 91 | 4.8 | 28.7 | 41.5 | 21.4 | 71.0 | -0.16 | 50.2 | 43.1 |
| Armani Bell-Jackson | - | 1 | 19.6 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 43.7 | 39.3 |
| Gabby Russell | - | 17 | 32.4 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 5.9 | 70 | 3.7 | 18.8 | 32.2 | 24.4 | 71.8 | 2.24 | 45.1 | 37.7 |
| Emma Brown | - | 1 | 29.8 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 36.9 | 30.0 |
| Jazz Johnson | - | 17 | 30.8 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 21 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 32.2 | 24.3 | 67.3 | -2.51 | 43.1 | 38.1 |
| Sierra McCoin | - | 17 | 27.7 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 0.9 | 69 | 3.6 | 23.5 | 26.0 | 23.0 | 91.7 | -0.3 | 38.7 | 34.6 |
| Sparkle Leigh | - | 1 | 26.2 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Mya Nisbet | - | 1 | 23.1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 28.6 | 50.0 | - | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| Tianna Neal | - | 1 | 12.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Reynah Rattliff | - | 1 | 24.7 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Ashton Harris | - | 12 | 23.1 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 34 | 2.3 | 44.8 | 42.6 | 40.0 | 73.1 | 2.47 | 52.7 | 46.3 |
| Olivia Trusty | - | 17 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.6 | 19.2 | 37.5 | -1.76 | 40.7 | 40.6 |
| Bene Butler | - | 1 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Samiyah McFarlane | - | 1 | 15.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Reese Pittman | - | 9 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | -15 | -1.4 | -27.5 | 41.2 | 46.7 | 0 | -1.26 | 61.8 | 61.8 |
| Trinity Fortune-Medine | - | 1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Katie Dryer | - | 17 | 14.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | -47 | -2.5 | -21.7 | 23.1 | 8.3 | 43.8 | 0.53 | 28.2 | 24.4 |
| Lauryn Humphrey | - | 2 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Stephanie Gandy | - | 13 | 9.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.5 | 28.9 | 31.6 | 20.0 | 71.4 | 0.66 | 40.8 | 34.2 |
| Taija Walker | - | 11 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | -17 | -1.3 | -30.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 12.5 | -1.98 | 40.7 | 50.0 |
| Bailey Eddleman | - | 17 | 10.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | -0.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -2.1 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.91 | 25.3 | 22.2 |
| Makaela Ullman | - | 8 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 37.0 | 40.0 |
| Ryley Kleemeyer | - | 6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Morgan Love | - | 9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -37 | -3.1 | -129.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kelsey Clark | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -119 | -5.4 | -39.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Ella Kirby | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| LeAnna Masseus | - | 1 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kenzie Richard | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG