Wilmington (DE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#608) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#509) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#97) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.148 (#611) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#265) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.316 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#266) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.306 (#441) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#337) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#439) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#588) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.251 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 864 (#448) | RD 106 | GP 22 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-15 | vs | Miami-Middletown | W | 111 - 56 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | Denison | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2019-11-22 | vs | Franklin | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Hiram | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2019-12-02 | vs | Earlham | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 99 - 65 |
| 2019-12-11 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Mount Union | W | 102 - 93 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ | Wittenberg | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2019-12-30 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 90 - 52 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Marietta | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | Capital | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | John Carroll | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | Otterbein | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 61 - 85 |
| 2020-01-22 | vs | Muskingum | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Mount Union | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2020-01-29 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Heidelberg | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2020-02-05 | vs | Otterbein | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | Muskingum | W | 104 - 53 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Marietta | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2020-02-19 | vs | Capital | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | John Carroll | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2020-02-25 | @ | John Carroll | L | 67 - 79 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.