Wilmington (DE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#608) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#509) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#97) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.148 (#611) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#265) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.316 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#266) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.306 (#441) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#337) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#439) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#588) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.250 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 871 (#442) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-16 | vs | Grove City | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2018-11-18 | vs | Kenyon | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2018-11-24 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2018-11-25 | vs | Hanover | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2018-11-28 | @ | Earlham | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | Heidelberg | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2018-12-05 | @ | Ohio Northern | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | @ | Mount Union | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | Marietta | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2018-12-19 | vs | Capital | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2018-12-28 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | John Carroll | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2019-01-09 | vs | Otterbein | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | Muskingum | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2019-01-18 | vs | Mount Union | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Heidelberg | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | Otterbein | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2019-02-06 | vs | Muskingum | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Marietta | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-13 | @ | Capital | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | John Carroll | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2019-02-19 | @ | John Carroll | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.