Wilmington (DE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#608) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#509) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#97) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.148 (#611) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#265) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.316 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#266) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.306 (#441) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#337) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#439) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#588) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.250 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 871 (#442) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | vs | Denison | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Olivet | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | Earlham | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Mount Union | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2016-12-07 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 51 - 78 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | Marietta | W | 90 - 60 |
| 2016-12-20 | vs | Alma | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2016-12-21 | vs | Thomas More | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Capital | L | 43 - 57 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Muskingum | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | John Carroll | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Otterbein | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Mount Union | W | 56 - 35 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Muskingum | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | John Carroll | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2017-02-08 | vs | Otterbein | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Marietta | L | 42 - 57 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Capital | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2017-02-21 | vs | Mount Union | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2017-02-23 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 55 - 70 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.