Wilmington (DE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#608) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#509) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#97) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.148 (#611) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#265) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.316 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#266) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.306 (#441) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#337) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#439) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#588) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.251 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 864 (#448) | RD 106 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Denison | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Franklin | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Capital | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Marietta | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | John Carroll | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-16 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2015-12-29 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | Brescia | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | Kenyon | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2016-01-03 | vs | Trine | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Mount Union | L | 60 - 93 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 42 - 73 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Muskingum | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2016-01-20 | @ | Otterbein | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | John Carroll | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Capital | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Heidelberg | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 53 - 69 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Marietta | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2016-02-10 | vs | Otterbein | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | W | 55 - 53 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Muskingum | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Mount Union | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2016-02-22 | @ | John Carroll | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | Capital | L | 64 - 71 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.