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Wilmington (DE)

Also known as: Wilmington (DE)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 634 (#538) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 604 (#539) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 767 (#688) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -30.9 (#300) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -26.9 (#635) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.006 (#643) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -30.1 More → 0.009 (#452) NetEff -30.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -55.5 More → 0.001 (#735) AdjNet -55.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -54.9 More → 0.001 (#731) AdjNet -54.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8 More → 0.043 (#724) AdjO 47.6 | AdjD 81.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.138 (#683) AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.063 (#675) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.069 (#678) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 23 More → 575 (#525) RD 117 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Daemen L 46 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Dist. Columbia L 36 - 74
2025-11-19 vs Lincoln (PA) L 68 - 76
2025-11-22 vs California (PA) L 58 - 79
2025-11-25 @ Bridgeport L 43 - 57
2025-12-01 @ Kutztown L 57 - 80
2025-12-03 @ Jefferson L 43 - 74
2025-12-06 vs Felician L 61 - 87
2025-12-09 vs Goldey-Beacom L 56 - 70
2025-12-12 vs Millersville L 49 - 77
2025-12-16 vs West Chester L 35 - 84
2025-12-19 @ Caldwell L 47 - 79
2026-01-03 @ Dominican (NY) L 45 - 53
2026-01-14 @ Holy Family L 48 - 72
2026-01-17 vs Post L 48 - 86
2026-01-20 @ Georgian Court L 58 - 72
2026-01-22 @ Penn St. Brandywine W 75 - 51
2026-01-24 vs Bridgeport L 47 - 74
2026-01-29 vs Jefferson L 51 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Felician L 52 - 85
2026-02-03 @ Goldey-Beacom L 69 - 89
2026-02-07 vs Caldwell L 66 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emma Brown - 22 27.0 10.2 9.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 2.9 9.6 10.9 -152 -6.9 -54.3 42.5 22.2 56.0 1.44 45.7 42.9
Reynah Rattliff - 22 30.6 8.5 5.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.9 12.0 1.4 -168 -7.6 -45.0 24.6 21.2 65.3 -2.2 31.8 26.7
TyKeisha Hill - 22 27.2 8.3 6.2 1.0 0.5 1.1 2.1 7.9 7.0 -182 -8.3 -57.6 40.8 0.0 64.1 -2.4 45.3 40.8
Armani Bell-Jackson - 22 17.4 7.9 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 2.5 10.5 -2.1 -127 -5.8 -59.1 25.7 18.9 68.6 -1.84 34.5 30.2
Sparkle Leigh - 22 27.8 5.8 4.0 0.9 1.0 0.2 3.3 6.8 1.8 -177 -8.4 -57.2 30.0 14.3 62.5 -2.15 36.6 31.0
Mya Nisbet - 22 24.1 4.3 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 6.0 1.0 -161 -7.3 -63.7 25.2 25.5 66.7 -1.63 35.5 34.7
Bene Butler - 14 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.7 0.2 -72 -5.5 -90.9 28.8 37.0 83.3 -0.91 43.6 38.5
Leanna Masseus - 1 6.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 -51 -3.9 -46.9 50.0 0 50.0 -2.36 52.1 50.0
Samiyah McFarlane - 22 13.4 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.3 0.2 -145 -6.6 -90.8 21.9 20.9 55.6 -0.8 29.9 28.1
Tianna Neal - 22 14.3 1.9 3.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.7 4.2 -122 -5.5 -72.7 43.2 0.0 64.3 -3.89 47.5 43.2
Brennah Scott - 8 3.8 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.2 -14 -1.6 -104.7 16.7 0.0 37.5 -0.27 26.3 16.7
Abigail Cisneros - 2 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 -1 -0.5 -12.4 0 0 100.0 0.56 113.6 0
Kenzie Richard - 13 2.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 6 0.5 28.1 0.0 0 50.0 0.16 36.2 0.0
Trinity Fortune-Medine - 9 6.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.7 -24 -2.7 -41.4 25.0 0.0 0 1.46 25.0 25.0
Trinity Fortune-Medi - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trintiy Fortune-Medine - 6 3.9 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.2 -17 -2.8 -255.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG