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Williams Baptist

Season: 2026 2024 2023
Also known as: Williams Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1094 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1087 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1036 (#224) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.9 (#414) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.931 (#228) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More → 0.295 (#458) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.280 (#463) AdjNet -8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 83.9 More → 0.400 (#435) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 83.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 75.8 More → 0.546 (#305) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 75.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.464 (#433) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#427) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 292 | GP 4 More → 1181 (#79) RD 292 | GP 4

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Blackburn W 99 - 82
2025-11-19 vs Principia W 105 - 69
2025-11-25 @ Hendrix W 88 - 63
2025-12-16 @ Principia W 86 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trahe Qualls - 4 32.8 23.8 4.8 2.2 2.2 0.8 4.0 19.2 10.5 - - - 46.8 39.1 82.4 - 56.2 52.6
EJ Johnson - 4 34.1 19.5 11.2 4.0 1.2 0.2 1.8 10.8 23.8 129 7.2 116.7 67.4 52.9 52.4 1.3 74.7 77.9
Cooper Rabjohn - 4 22.9 15.8 4.5 1.2 2.0 0.0 1.2 9.0 13.2 - - - 50.0 33.3 81.5 - 65.8 56.9
Amarion Wilson - 4 32.4 10.0 2.0 4.0 2.2 0.0 1.5 11.2 5.5 - - - 35.6 16.7 50.0 - 40.5 38.9
Rico Quinton - 4 11.7 6.2 4.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.8 5.8 4.2 - - - 52.2 25.0 0 - 54.3 54.3
Eli Cofield - 4 14.4 5.0 2.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.8 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 66.5 50.0
Jadyn Ramsey - 4 15.5 4.2 3.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 3.0 6.2 - - - 58.3 50.0 33.3 - 63.8 66.7
Charles Brown Jr. - 4 19.2 3.8 7.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.5 4.2 7.2 57 4.4 17.9 41.2 0.0 100.0 2.97 43.0 41.2
Jordan Johnson - 1 10.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3 0.2 1.9 100.0 0 0 2.69 100.0 100.0
DJ Townsend - 3 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG