Williams Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 978 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 855 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 927 (#512) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.6 (#301) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.7 (#547) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.009 (#648) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.038 (#689) | AdjNet -27.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.036 (#689) | AdjNet -27.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.131 (#681) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 89.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.238 (#570) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 83.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#540) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.187 (#547) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#462) | RD 247 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trahe Qualls | - | 3 | 22.2 | 14.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 42.1 | 66.7 | - | 57.8 | 57.1 |
| EJ Johnson | - | 3 | 34.8 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 5.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -114.3 | 34.4 | 22.2 | 57.1 | 0.25 | 44.5 | 40.6 |
| Cooper Rabjohn | - | 3 | 26.2 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 37.5 | 58.3 | - | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Amarion Wilson | - | 3 | 33.8 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 18.9 | 25.0 | 66.7 | - | 29.0 | 25.7 |
| Rico Quinton | - | 2 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Eli Cofield | - | 3 | 17.6 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 58.0 | 55.6 |
| Jadyn Ramsey | - | 3 | 16.8 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Charles Brown Jr. | - | 3 | 22.4 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 15 | 1.7 | 378.9 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.12 | 38.1 | 42.9 |
| DJ Townsend | - | 2 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.5 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG