William Jewell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 694 (#533) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 646 (#537) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 733 (#692) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.3 (#288) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.7 (#588) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.081 (#546) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#42) | NetEff +40.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.005 (#462) | NetEff -36.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.254 (#488) | AdjNet -9.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.267 (#484) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#498) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.162 (#678) | AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.099 (#652) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.099 (#659) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 549 (#528) | RD 115 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Kansas City | L | 35 - 90 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Barton | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Newman | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 54 - 90 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 44 - 70 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southwest Baptist | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rockhurst | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | William Penn | L | 30 - 58 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 43 - 83 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | McKendree | L | 48 - 94 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | UIndy | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lewis | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Quincy | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Truman St. | L | 65 - 108 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Southwest Baptist | L | 55 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Geddes | - | 1 | 26.6 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Natalie Fox | - | 1 | 25.7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 55.7 | 55.6 |
| Jana Sallman | - | 1 | 21.7 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 67.1 | 50.0 |
| Monet Dance | - | 1 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 71.4 | - | 55.1 | 41.7 |
| Syderah Farmer | - | 17 | 28.3 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 12.8 | 2.5 | -283 | -15.7 | -62.3 | 28.0 | 20.4 | 59.5 | -1.26 | 35.5 | 32.8 |
| Jariah Harris | - | 6 | 26.6 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 1.3 | -62 | -12.4 | -56.4 | 26.2 | 20.0 | 78.3 | 2.33 | 36.6 | 28.5 |
| Jalea Price | - | 19 | 34.3 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 9.2 | 2.1 | -357 | -17.9 | -65.9 | 33.9 | 27.9 | 81.0 | -1.1 | 45.3 | 42.8 |
| Alex McGarrah | - | 19 | 24.8 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 1.2 | -219 | -10.9 | -50.2 | 33.3 | 31.0 | 60.6 | -3.59 | 42.8 | 40.7 |
| Dynasti Pierce | - | 1 | 17.3 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | - | 64.5 | 62.5 |
| Kyah Smith | - | 1 | 21.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -13 | -1.9 | -15.4 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Taryn Jacobs | - | 19 | 21.8 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 4.9 | -289 | -14.4 | -107.2 | 44.0 | 20.0 | 85.7 | -1.22 | 47.6 | 44.5 |
| Jacee Peterson | - | 18 | 17.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 4.7 | -179 | -9.9 | -67.1 | 39.1 | 16.7 | 53.5 | -2.6 | 44.8 | 41.4 |
| Marley Long | - | 1 | 15.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -34 | -1.7 | -17.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -3.08 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Sophia LeGoullon | - | 1 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Alexa Mikeska | - | 1 | 19.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Ari Mercado | - | 1 | 18.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Maja Komaszynska | - | 19 | 18.4 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 5.4 | -174 | -8.3 | -54.4 | 36.9 | 33.3 | 55.3 | -2.61 | 43.4 | 38.5 |
| Anna Daughtry | - | 17 | 15.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 4.1 | -0.3 | -245 | -13.6 | -262.4 | 25.7 | 23.1 | 53.3 | -0.08 | 30.7 | 27.9 |
| Rylee Thompson | - | 19 | 19.1 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | -161 | -7.7 | -45.3 | 31.2 | 44.4 | 76.9 | -0.66 | 44.7 | 39.6 |
| Mandi Pham | - | 17 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -74 | -4.1 | -132.7 | 34.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 45.3 | 41.3 |
| Kirra Long | - | 15 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -53 | -3.3 | -160.6 | 15.8 | 20.0 | 70.0 | 0.43 | 32.1 | 21.1 |
| Chanelle Anderson | - | 18 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -133 | -6.7 | -190.7 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 0.0 | -2.24 | 17.7 | 19.4 |
| Aisha Dos Santos | - | 1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amelia Basit | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG