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William Carey

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2009
Also known as: William Carey Crusaders
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 994 (#388) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -3.5 (#542) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -13.5 (#505) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.453 (#457) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.253 (#506) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.289 (#504) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 887 (#500) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 67 - 81
2021-11-22 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 53 - 96

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Martin Z. Martin - 2 26.0 18.0 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 23.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
A. Bingham A. Bingham G 2 30.0 13.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.5 0.0 18.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
E. Kazeneza E. Kazeneza - 2 30.5 10.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 14.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
S. Bumpers S. Bumpers - 1 20.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Starwood M. Starwood F 1 30.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
W. Gaines Jr. W. Gaines Jr. - 1 26.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 293 8.6 12.6 0 0 0 2.01 0 0
J. Thigpen J. Thigpen - 2 25.0 4.0 6.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
D. Whitworth D. Whitworth - 2 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Herrick D. Herrick - 2 15.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
T. Ward T. Ward - 2 11.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Roberts B. Roberts G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Rawls J. Rawls - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -27 -3.0 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
J. Moore J. Moore - 2 7.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -48 -1.9 -8.5 0 0 0 1.7 0 0
C. Leonard C. Leonard - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
W. Moody W. Moody - 2 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG