🐻⬇️🏀

William Carey

Also known as: William Carey Crusaders
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 994 (#365) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +3.1 (#501) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -9.0 (#447) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.436 (#463) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.308 (#433) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.327 (#430) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 838 (#518) RD 350 | GP 3

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-14 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 64 - 82
2012-12-10 @ Southern Jaguars L 50 - 77
2012-12-31 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 59 - 89

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Bell D. Bell - 2 25.0 9.5 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 0.0 12.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
J. Dunnings J. Dunnings - 3 29.3 9.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 0.0 2.7 0.0 13.7 - - - 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
J. Reed J. Reed - 2 25.5 7.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.5 2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
J. Doss J. Doss - 2 17.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Nixon K. Nixon - 1 15.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
P. McCray P. McCray - 1 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
D. LaRue D. LaRue - 1 20.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG