William & Mary
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#264) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#333) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 872 (#704) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.4 (#632) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#23) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#26) | AdjNet +44.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#26) | AdjNet +44.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.921 (#64) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 57.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.293 (#677) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#667) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 810 (#541) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | @ | Ferrum | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Centre | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ | Berea | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Randolph | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2022-11-19 | vs | JWU (Charlotte) | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Averett | L | 49 - 81 |
| 2022-11-29 | vs | CarolinaU | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2022-12-14 | @ | Campbell | L | 58 - 97 |
| 2022-12-16 | @ | Warren Wilson | - | Preview |
| 2022-12-18 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | Ferrum | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2023-01-01 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Methodist | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Greensboro | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2023-01-10 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2023-01-13 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Methodist | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Brevard | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Pfeiffer | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Greensboro | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2023-02-07 | @ | Pfeiffer | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2023-02-10 | @ | Mary Baldwin | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Southern Va. | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Brevard | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2023-02-23 | vs | Southern Va. | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 61 - 80 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.