William & Mary
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#264) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#333) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 872 (#704) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.4 (#632) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#23) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#26) | AdjNet +44.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#26) | AdjNet +44.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.921 (#64) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 57.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.293 (#677) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#667) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 810 (#541) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-12 | vs | Ferrum | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2021-01-14 | @ | Ferrum | W | 93 - 85 |
| 2021-01-22 | vs | Methodist | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2021-01-24 | @ | Methodist | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2021-01-29 | @ | Greensboro | L | 81 - 86 |
| 2021-01-31 | vs | Greensboro | W | 93 - 92 |
| 2021-02-05 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 74 - 100 |
| 2021-02-07 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | Averett | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2021-02-14 | @ | Averett | L | 39 - 88 |
| 2021-02-19 | @ | Pfeiffer | L | 71 - 99 |
| 2021-02-21 | vs | Pfeiffer | L | 74 - 76 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.