Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#403) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#390) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 957 (#548) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#531) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.261 (#458) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.251 (#490) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.257 (#490) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.386 (#479) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.493 (#380) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.381 (#466) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.404 (#446) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Western Ore. | L | 81 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Walden | - | 1 | 37.4 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.4 | 56.2 |
| Kaitlin Imai | - | 1 | 37.7 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 72.7 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 71.5 | 77.3 |
| Daisy Boling-Schmidt | - | 1 | 25.8 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Addie Hiler | - | 1 | 16.7 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 54.3 | 42.9 |
| Leia Mata | - | 1 | 27.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Emma Floyd | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Peyton Gardner | - | 1 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.5 | 0.0 |
| Aasia Williams | - | 1 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -151.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Gabby Wilson | - | 1 | 33.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Karsyn Ripplinger | - | 1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alexis Dockter | - | 1 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mattie Thompson | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG