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Willamette

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2013 2012 2011 2010 2005 2004
Also known as: Willamette Bearcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#222) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -11.3 (#660) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -13.1 (#503) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.469 (#378) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.282 (#480) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.334 (#456) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 908 (#439) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-11 @ Portland Pilots L 78 - 122

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Boydell J. Boydell - 1 32.0 19.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 25.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
M. Hoffman M. Hoffman - 1 15.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Silveira M. Silveira C 1 12.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.02 0 0
Y. Harvey Y. Harvey G 1 16.0 10.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 -2 -0.1 -0.3 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
K. Wright Jr. K. Wright Jr. - 1 21.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 -48 -1.5 -2.6 0 0 0 1.09 0 0
D. Plumer D. Plumer - 1 22.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Hsiung R. Hsiung - 1 13.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Pearce J. Pearce - 1 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Frank J. Frank - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Perez J. Perez - 1 18.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -81 -16.2 -35.5 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
P. McSlarrow P. McSlarrow - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Sherman T. Sherman - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 45 1.5 1.8 0 0 0 1.72 0 0
D. Green D. Green - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 108 3.2 7.7 0 0 0 0.33 0 0
M. Dorodchi M. Dorodchi - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG