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Wilkes

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wilkes
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 869 (#440) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 819 (#526) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 839 (#657) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -16.4 (#335) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -12.9 (#529) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.063 (#657) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.2 More → 0.141 (#473) NetEff -11.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -28.1 More → 0.037 (#619) AdjNet -28.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -28.7 More → 0.032 (#621) AdjNet -28.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.167 (#613) AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.289 (#611) AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 60.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.204 (#594) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.207 (#598) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 799 (#488) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Penn St.-Berks W 76 - 30
2025-11-11 @ Centenary (NJ) L 47 - 77
2025-11-14 vs Saint Elizabeth W 68 - 53
2025-11-19 @ Lycoming L 40 - 71
2025-11-22 @ Moravian L 50 - 63
2025-11-25 @ King's (PA) L 59 - 70
2025-12-03 vs Susquehanna L 46 - 72
2025-12-28 @ Kenyon W 72 - 62
2025-12-30 @ WestConn L 44 - 51
2026-01-10 vs Elizabethtown L 39 - 59
2026-01-14 vs Drew L 44 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Goucher W 51 - 45
2026-01-21 vs Scranton L 28 - 80
2026-01-24 vs Moravian L 52 - 65
2026-01-28 vs Lycoming L 58 - 65
2026-01-31 vs Catholic L 40 - 68
2026-02-04 @ Susquehanna L 51 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Juniata W 73 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Yamirelis Matos - 17 30.8 11.6 5.3 2.0 1.8 0.1 3.5 12.5 4.8 -120 -6.0 -26.3 31.6 20.8 58.9 -2.47 39.3 34.2
Maliyah Warren - 18 27.5 11.4 5.0 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.1 12.8 3.9 -111 -5.3 -23.5 34.3 19.8 58.2 0.49 40.5 37.8
Anya Richet - 18 21.3 6.2 6.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 2.4 6.2 6.0 -2 -0.1 -0.5 36.6 35.7 61.5 0.16 43.0 38.8
Charlotte Taylor - 18 19.5 4.0 2.7 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.8 4.7 3.9 -29 -1.4 -8.8 31.8 20.0 58.3 0.41 39.9 38.2
Reagan Holden - 18 18.8 3.1 2.2 1.1 1.4 0.1 2.2 3.0 2.7 -41 -2.0 -15.1 29.6 27.6 64.0 -1.31 43.1 37.0
Addison Place - 18 16.6 3.1 3.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.7 -76 -3.6 -26.9 40.4 20.0 57.1 -1.04 44.9 41.3
Delaney Bogdan - 16 9.1 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.5 0.6 -80 -4.4 -44.4 27.5 17.9 75.0 -1.39 43.0 33.8
Carolyn Lundy - 18 12.8 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.1 -29 -1.4 -11.5 32.0 19.4 42.9 -3.47 38.6 38.0
Dana Wartzenluft - 16 7.2 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.3 1.1 -47 -2.6 -52.0 27.0 17.9 87.5 1.22 39.5 33.8
Madison Robel - 16 9.7 2.0 3.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.2 2.8 3.0 -8 -0.4 -4.0 20.0 0.0 66.7 -0.43 29.5 20.0
Delaney Moyer - 15 6.9 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 -20 -1.2 -13.0 45.0 50.0 87.5 0.43 61.6 55.0
Aivry Devoy - 18 9.7 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.2 3.5 -1.3 -66 -3.1 -41.0 19.0 16.2 50.0 -1.08 24.3 23.8
Madison Olguin - 4 7.1 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.5 0.0 -13 -3.2 -18.0 20.0 14.3 50.0 -0.66 27.6 25.0
Izzi Toland - 11 4.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 -33 -3.0 -42.9 37.5 0.0 100.0 -2.56 45.0 37.5
Mercedes Artaiz - 17 9.7 0.6 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 2.0 1.0 -42 -2.2 -42.7 8.8 5.0 30.0 -1.31 13.0 10.3
Kyleen McCance - 1 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lynzee Andreuzzi - 2 1.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.13 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG