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Wiley

Season: 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2012 2011 2009 2008 2005
Also known as: Wiley Wildcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 889 (#687) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 834 (#737) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 994 (#378) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -6.7 (#598) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -6.2 (#427) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.467 (#391) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#435) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.365 (#425) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 898 (#478) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Lamar Cardinals L 50 - 67
2021-12-04 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 76 - 100

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Holland T. Holland - 2 33.0 12.0 6.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 20.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.52 0 0
M. Aiken M. Aiken - 2 25.5 9.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 12.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
D. Ellis D. Ellis - 1 18.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0
D. Houston D. Houston - 2 21.0 8.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 44 8.8 20.4 0 0 0 0.51 0 0
T. Burrus T. Burrus - 2 33.5 7.0 1.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
J. Mullins J. Mullins SG 2 17.5 6.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 8.0 50 1.5 6.1 0 0 0 0.03 0 0
K. Edwards K. Edwards - 2 18.0 5.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 519 14.0 17.8 0 0 0 3.2 0 0
J. Cheek J. Cheek - 1 31.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Kameron Fitzpatrick Kameron Fitzpatrick F 2 13.0 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Amoni Waring Amoni Waring G 1 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Williams David Williams F 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -43 -1.4 -2.9 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
A. Dick A. Dick - 1 12.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antonio Jones Antonio Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 198 6.0 9.1 - - - 1.55 - -
Deonte Spencer Deonte Spencer F 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.75 0 0
A. Pullen A. Pullen - 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG