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Whitworth

Season:
Also known as: Whitworth Pirates
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1177 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1196 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1185 (#21) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.5 (#23) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.4 (#254) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.807 (#290) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.686 (#285) AdjNet +6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.682 (#284) AdjNet +6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.608 (#285) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.735 (#75) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.750 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.756 (#128) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1257 (#27) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.