Whitman
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 886 (#551) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 896 (#499) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#638) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.3 (#273) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.8 (#526) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.562 (#428) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.410 (#395) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.403 (#395) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#399) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.402 (#581) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#591) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.298 (#587) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#486) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Idaho | L | 49 - 94 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Walla Walla | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Caltech | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Belhaven | L | 73 - 92 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Walla Walla | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Northwest Indian | W | 107 - 55 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Willamette | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Whitworth | L | 57 - 87 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Linfield | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Lewis & Clark | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | George Fox | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Willamette | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Whitworth | L | 46 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Linfield | W | 64 - 40 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Efe Isik | - | 21 | 27.9 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 10.4 | 10.2 | -73 | -3.6 | -21.1 | 47.5 | 31.4 | 75.0 | -1.19 | 56.5 | 51.1 |
| Jacob Fotu | - | 21 | 21.8 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 6.9 | -33 | -1.7 | -10.8 | 47.9 | 34.8 | 55.9 | 2.02 | 54.6 | 53.9 |
| Milos Sarenac | - | 16 | 21.3 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 12.2 | 20 | 1.3 | 19.6 | 44.4 | 29.4 | 74.6 | 0.11 | 54.1 | 46.4 |
| Djordje Lazarevic | - | 17 | 26.5 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 5.5 | -6 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 37.4 | 27.1 | 65.4 | 0.54 | 49.5 | 47.3 |
| Marcel Elicagaray | - | 20 | 21.9 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 4.8 | -38 | -2.0 | -9.4 | 37.3 | 38.3 | 73.5 | -2.2 | 54.2 | 50.4 |
| Ken Higgins | - | 21 | 21.4 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 3.7 | -19 | -0.9 | -5.1 | 38.2 | 35.3 | 66.7 | 1.01 | 53.1 | 51.9 |
| Bernard Dzesi | - | 17 | 17.0 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 5.9 | -18 | -1.1 | -13.7 | 51.9 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 54.9 | 54.5 |
| Sarp Gokberk | - | 20 | 23.7 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 6.6 | -40 | -2.2 | -13.7 | 58.0 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 3.19 | 57.8 | 59.4 |
| Mehmet Bener | - | 17 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 1.4 | -68 | -4.2 | -593.5 | 43.1 | 39.6 | 85.7 | -0.27 | 61.4 | 59.5 |
| Julian Witt | - | 16 | 13.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 3.1 | -9 | -0.6 | -4.1 | 48.6 | 22.2 | 76.9 | 0.15 | 58.5 | 54.1 |
| Luke Johnson | - | 14 | 10.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 12 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 32.3 | 30.4 | 75.0 | -0.42 | 47.8 | 43.5 |
| Xavier Santana | - | 10 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 16 | 1.6 | 18.3 | 33.3 | 29.4 | 0 | 1.18 | 42.6 | 42.6 |
| Aidan Rausch | - | 7 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 77.0 | 75.0 |
| Duke Gordon | - | 4 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -13 | -3.2 | -38.9 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -1.81 | 35.9 | 18.8 |
| Campbell Horning | - | 2 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Adam Wolfe | - | 1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 40 | 2.5 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.61 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Drew Flinn | - | 8 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -5 | -0.6 | -13.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.87 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aden Lepp | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zaid Osman | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Crawford | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -4.0 | -71.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG