🐻⬇️🏀

Whitman

Also known as: Whitman
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 903 (#524) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 908 (#477) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 928 (#638) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -10.6 (#350) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -9.8 (#526) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.562 (#428) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More → 0.410 (#395) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.4 More → 0.403 (#395) AdjNet -3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.442 (#399) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.402 (#581) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.280 (#591) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.298 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 901 (#476) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Idaho - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Walla Walla - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Bethany (WV) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Cal Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Pomona-Pitzer - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Caltech - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Belhaven - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Walla Walla - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Northwest Indian - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Pacific (OR) - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Willamette - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 vs Whitworth - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 @ Linfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 @ Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ George Fox - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Pacific Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Willamette - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Pacific (OR) - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 @ Whitworth - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Linfield - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ali Efe Isik - 20 27.6 14.7 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.4 2.6 10.8 10.7 -73 -3.6 -21.1 48.4 33.3 76.7 -1.49 57.5 52.1
Milos Sarenac - 15 21.0 10.8 8.7 2.1 0.5 0.3 2.1 7.6 12.7 20 1.3 19.6 47.4 35.7 73.1 1.31 56.5 49.6
Jacob Fotu - 20 21.6 10.4 4.0 2.4 0.8 0.3 2.0 8.7 7.2 -33 -1.7 -10.8 49.7 35.8 53.1 -0.19 55.6 55.2
Djordje Lazarevic - 16 25.9 8.1 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.8 7.6 5.4 -6 -0.4 -1.7 38.0 26.7 66.7 0.94 49.5 47.5
Marcel Elicagaray - 19 22.2 7.4 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.1 5.9 5.0 -38 -2.0 -9.4 38.1 40.3 75.0 -2.0 55.5 51.8
Ken Higgins - 21 21.4 7.0 2.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.7 6.2 3.7 -19 -0.9 -5.1 38.2 35.3 66.7 0.3 53.1 51.9
Bernard Dzesi - 16 17.1 5.6 4.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 2.0 4.2 6.0 -18 -1.1 -13.7 53.7 16.7 53.6 -1.06 56.1 55.2
Sarp Gokberk - 19 23.6 4.9 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.2 1.7 3.6 6.8 -40 -2.2 -13.7 58.8 40.0 42.9 0.81 58.5 60.3
Mehmet Bener - 16 11.9 4.7 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.6 -68 -4.2 -593.5 45.5 40.4 85.7 -4.83 64.6 62.7
Julian Witt - 15 13.9 3.2 2.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.4 3.2 -9 -0.6 -4.1 47.2 22.2 76.9 -0.35 57.5 52.8
Luke Johnson - 14 10.0 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 2.4 12 0.9 9.5 32.3 30.4 75.0 1.95 47.8 43.5
Xavier Santana - 10 12.1 2.3 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.0 1.4 2.7 3.0 16 1.6 18.3 33.3 29.4 0 1.83 42.6 42.6
Aidan Rausch - 6 4.6 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.5 - - - 62.5 66.7 100.0 1.18 77.0 75.0
Duke Gordon - 4 6.8 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.0 -13 -3.2 -38.9 12.5 12.5 100.0 - 35.9 18.8
Campbell Horning - 2 6.3 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Adam Wolfe - 1 3.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 40 2.5 39.1 0.0 0 50.0 -1.21 26.6 0.0
Drew Flinn - 8 6.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 -5 -0.6 -13.2 50.0 0.0 0 -1.84 50.0 50.0
Cooper Crawford - 1 2.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -4.0 -71.1 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aden Lepp - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Zaid Osman - 1 2.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG