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Wheeling

Also known as: Wheeling
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1131 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1144 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1077 (#96) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +6.3 (#146) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +11.6 (#139) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.436 (#202) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +62.6 More โ†’ 0.998 (#43) NetEff +62.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More โ†’ 0.478 (#239) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More โ†’ 0.521 (#226) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.5 More โ†’ 0.492 (#237) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 75.0 More โ†’ 0.681 (#82) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.724 (#118) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.721 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More โ†’ 1125 (#96) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ California (PA) W 85 - 82
2025-11-15 vs Clarion L 82 - 91
2025-11-19 @ Slippery Rock L 71 - 82
2025-11-23 vs Winston-Salem W 86 - 66
2025-12-03 vs Point Park W 97 - 75
2025-12-06 @ Salem (WV) W 93 - 85
2025-12-10 @ West Virginia St. L 81 - 92
2025-12-13 vs Charleston (WV) W 77 - 75
2025-12-15 vs Franciscan W 82 - 74
2025-12-17 vs Davis & Elkins W 92 - 84
2026-01-03 @ West Va. Wesleyan W 78 - 72
2026-01-07 vs Fairmont St. L 71 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Frostburg St. W 115 - 98
2026-01-14 vs Concord L 100 - 108
2026-01-17 @ Glenville St. W 86 - 80
2026-01-21 vs Salem (WV) W 85 - 69
2026-01-24 @ West Liberty - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Charleston (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs West Virginia St. W 106 - 92
2026-02-04 vs West Va. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Davis & Elkins W 83 - 74
2026-02-11 @ Fairmont St. L 60 - 77
2026-02-14 vs Frostburg St. W 88 - 84
2026-02-18 @ Concord W 77 - 71
2026-02-21 vs Glenville St. W 90 - 87
2026-02-25 @ Point Park W 93 - 83
2026-02-28 vs West Liberty W 93 - 91
2026-03-06 vs Concord L 71 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ayden Goll - 26 32.0 18.5 3.8 4.5 1.7 0.4 2.5 13.0 13.5 - - - - 42.4 33.5 87.0 - 58.9 50.4
Caleb Murray - 26 27.9 15.8 2.9 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.7 13.7 5.5 - - - - 42.0 35.8 79.1 - 54.7 52.8
Tee Harris - 26 27.7 13.1 6.0 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.2 10.5 12.0 - - - - 48.5 28.9 70.7 - 57.1 55.0
Curtis Harrison IV - 26 19.6 7.9 5.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.3 5.4 8.3 - - - - 56.0 42.9 60.3 - 61.6 60.3
Jerry Saunders Jr. - 26 15.0 7.7 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 6.4 3.5 - - - - 40.7 42.6 74.5 - 52.8 48.5
Kris English - 12 16.3 7.5 3.2 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.1 5.6 5.8 - - - - 56.7 12.5 59.1 - 58.7 57.5
Alex Smith - 26 30.4 6.6 5.9 4.3 1.8 0.2 1.5 6.0 11.3 - - - - 37.4 27.8 62.1 - 47.6 43.9
D.J. Wingfield - 17 5.7 3.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.7 2.4 - - - - 47.8 40.7 80.0 - 62.5 59.8
Jalen Wenger - 26 11.3 3.4 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 4.0 1.9 - - - - 32.4 23.1 42.9 - 40.0 39.5
Lamar Dampier - 26 9.5 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.0 - - - - 65.9 25.0 60.0 - 67.2 67.1
Trevor Beresford - 26 11.3 2.4 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.7 3.4 - - - - 65.1 0.0 41.2 - 62.4 65.1
Elijah Edwards - 7 2.2 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.3 - - - - 44.4 57.1 66.7 - 67.8 66.7
Roy Paz Jr. - 5 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 - - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 75.0 75.0
Derek Wilson - 6 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 - - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Drew Fitzwater - 5 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.6 - - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Carson Swanson - 6 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Chance Hartwell - 10 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3 - - - - 22.2 16.7 0.0 - 24.2 27.8
Walker Spalding - 3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Cayden Faucett - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Morrison - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ian Kyler - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Wyatt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Senyo - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Marshall - 5 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG