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Westminster (UT)

Also known as: Westminster (UT)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 795 (#511) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 797 (#502) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 857 (#644) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.7 (#213) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -2.9 (#412) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.053 (#563) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -18.1 More → 0.085 (#401) NetEff -18.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.165 (#542) AdjNet -14.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.171 (#540) AdjNet -13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.321 (#532) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.381 (#545) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.273 (#544) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.285 (#542) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 23 More → 780 (#483) RD 102 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Idaho St. L 47 - 99
2025-11-08 @ Weber St. L 47 - 84
2025-11-14 @ Biola L 53 - 70
2025-11-15 @ CUI L 74 - 89
2025-11-21 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 99 - 74
2025-11-22 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 54 - 46
2025-11-29 @ Utah Tech L 70 - 81
2025-12-04 @ CSU Pueblo L 60 - 62
2025-12-06 @ UCCS L 45 - 82
2025-12-11 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 62 - 78
2025-12-13 vs MSU Denver L 66 - 76
2025-12-20 @ Northwest Nazarene L 57 - 74
2025-12-20 @ Seattle Pacific W 70 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Fort Lewis L 53 - 72
2026-01-15 @ Colorado Mesa L 43 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Western Colo. L 60 - 62
2026-01-22 vs Chadron St. W 83 - 52
2026-01-24 vs South Dakota Mines W 77 - 61
2026-01-29 vs Colo. Christian L 71 - 81
2026-01-31 vs CSU Pueblo L 79 - 83
2026-02-05 @ Regis (CO) L 52 - 80
2026-02-07 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines W 73 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ellie Mitchell - 20 34.2 12.5 2.9 2.5 2.3 0.1 2.6 13.4 4.3 -68 -3.8 -13.1 34.9 29.2 80.6 1.29 43.9 41.1
Teuila Nawahine - 22 31.8 11.9 6.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 3.0 11.3 8.8 -109 -5.2 -16.5 39.8 24.1 66.7 0.54 46.5 42.6
Madison Anderson - 22 25.4 11.4 7.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 2.2 8.9 10.3 -103 -5.2 -17.1 49.2 35.7 62.1 0.15 53.8 50.5
Emily Evans - 22 26.7 7.9 6.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.7 8.3 5.8 -115 -5.8 -22.2 36.3 19.2 68.1 -0.82 42.9 39.0
Nisa Ellis - 20 17.9 6.2 4.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.6 5.5 4.7 -17 -0.8 -5.2 42.3 0.0 64.6 -3.13 47.3 42.3
Klowie Pike - 22 24.8 5.8 3.1 2.0 1.6 0.0 2.0 6.8 3.8 -126 -6.3 -26.3 32.7 20.0 67.9 1.21 39.4 36.3
Makeili Ika - 17 22.4 4.5 2.4 1.8 1.6 0.0 1.8 4.1 4.4 -109 -7.3 -37.4 44.9 27.6 77.8 -1.84 52.8 50.7
Alisi peaua - 18 6.4 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.3 2.3 -49 -3.3 -46.2 52.4 0 80.0 -0.42 56.0 52.4
Marli Reed - 20 10.8 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.5 -0.1 -6 -0.3 -2.5 24.0 24.2 60.0 0.14 34.9 32.0
Brianna Mendez - 12 10.0 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.8 0.3 -21 -2.1 -11.9 28.6 17.6 33.3 -0.04 36.0 35.7
Achol Daw - 17 7.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 -54 -3.4 -41.6 26.3 33.3 50.0 -2.8 31.3 28.9
Adriana Copeland - 8 3.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 -0.2 -20 -4.0 -578.3 16.7 0 100.0 -0.29 29.1 16.7
Kyleigh Nielson - 10 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 -4 -0.5 -12.9 40.0 0.0 0 0.01 40.0 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG