Westminster (PA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 892 (#416) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 935 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 870 (#637) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.9 (#272) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.8 (#577) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.208 (#581) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.210 (#448) | NetEff -9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.160 (#508) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.152 (#510) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.281 (#517) | AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.270 (#624) | AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 64.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.162 (#624) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.173 (#627) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 823 (#478) | RD 78 | GP 41 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Western Ill. | L | 46 - 116 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Rhodes | L | 43 - 69 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | L | 66 - 84 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Manchester | L | 49 - 89 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Coe | L | 29 - 56 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 60 - 90 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Mount Union | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ohio Northern | W | 48 - 40 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Houghton | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Webster | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Principia | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Allegheny | L | 42 - 69 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Eureka | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | WashU | L | 31 - 94 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Nazareth | L | 45 - 66 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 55 - 44 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | La Verne | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Occidental | L | 53 - 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Juniata | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Webster | W | 67 - 45 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saint Vincent | L | 39 - 73 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Spalding | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Greenville | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Hiram | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Franciscan | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Blackburn | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Geneva | L | 90 - 99 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lyon | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Waynesburg | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Thiel | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Principia | L | 57 - 86 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Eureka | W | 61 - 41 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Chatham | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Allegheny | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Spalding | L | 33 - 40 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cano | - | 18 | 24.4 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 9.6 | 7.4 | -65 | -3.4 | -17.1 | 52.6 | 0 | 55.9 | -0.77 | 54.0 | 52.6 |
| Gizelle Carreto | - | 20 | 29.9 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 5.3 | 10.2 | 3.5 | -41 | -2.0 | -8.9 | 38.4 | 28.1 | 80.8 | -2.23 | 47.8 | 42.9 |
| Katie Maryo | - | 18 | 23.2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 8.3 | 4.2 | -100 | -5.3 | -30.0 | 34.9 | 35.5 | 100.0 | -0.61 | 51.5 | 49.3 |
| Aly Bullock | - | 20 | 26.7 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 9.5 | 10.3 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 71.9 | -0.04 | 36.7 | 30.8 |
| Mariah Mayfield | - | 20 | 23.2 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 1.0 | -25 | -1.3 | -7.4 | 27.8 | 23.4 | 58.1 | 1.48 | 37.6 | 35.6 |
| Deyja Mayes | - | 20 | 21.8 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 11 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 35.5 | 3.3 | 58.2 | -3.67 | 40.3 | 35.8 |
| Maddie Syka | - | 18 | 18.7 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 3.9 | -68 | -3.6 | -21.2 | 30.0 | 27.3 | 68.0 | 0.76 | 39.4 | 36.4 |
| Katie Grexa | - | 18 | 19.4 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 6.7 | 6.7 | -71 | -3.9 | -24.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 75.9 | -2.86 | 42.6 | 38.0 |
| Evalena Claxton | - | 20 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 5.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -4.0 | 44.9 | 28.6 | 52.4 | 0.79 | 46.8 | 45.8 |
| Kennedy Arison | - | 18 | 29.0 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 3.2 | -124 | -6.5 | -27.9 | 30.2 | 28.8 | 34.4 | -3.27 | 37.1 | 36.9 |
| Bella Calcamuggio | - | 18 | 27.1 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 5.5 | -93 | -4.9 | -22.7 | 39.2 | 30.8 | 100.0 | -1.45 | 46.8 | 45.1 |
| Reagan Chigas | - | 14 | 29.9 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 44 | 3.1 | 23.4 | 39.7 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 3.46 | 45.6 | 40.4 |
| Amonye Allen | - | 20 | 18.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 3.8 | -43 | -2.3 | -15.1 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 73.7 | -0.42 | 38.0 | 34.5 |
| Jenna Zuelch | - | 18 | 14.9 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | -81 | -4.3 | -34.9 | 37.1 | 100.0 | 63.6 | 0.09 | 41.0 | 37.6 |
| Olivia Goeke | - | 1 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Angelina Brush | - | 16 | 25.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 3.6 | -79 | -4.4 | -26.4 | 29.0 | 28.3 | 40.9 | 1.32 | 39.4 | 38.4 |
| Jamie Peffer | - | 14 | 16.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 4.5 | -63 | -4.8 | -20.9 | 61.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.33 | 60.5 | 61.1 |
| Ryen Smith | - | 15 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | -59 | -3.7 | -82.4 | 27.1 | 21.9 | 60.0 | -1.97 | 39.6 | 34.4 |
| Madison Brown | - | 15 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 | -58 | -2.1 | -26.6 | 34.4 | 23.1 | 42.9 | -3.54 | 40.6 | 39.1 |
| Hana Neuman | - | 19 | 12.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -11 | -0.6 | -3.3 | 22.5 | 0 | 81.8 | -0.22 | 36.2 | 22.5 |
| Caitlin Kreitzer | - | 5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -3 | -0.4 | -11.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.05 | 52.1 | 33.3 |
| Ava Bennett | - | 12 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -17 | -1.2 | -36.1 | 31.2 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.26 | 47.9 | 40.6 |
| Evelyn Valero | - | 14 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 17 | 1.2 | 61.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.34 | 34.4 | 33.3 |
| Kiersten Powell | - | 11 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | -0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 27.8 | 14.3 | 0.0 | -0.84 | 27.8 | 30.6 |
| Avery Maier | - | 9 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -10 | -0.9 | -19.7 | 22.2 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.73 | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Kendall Chigas | - | 12 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 28 | 2.3 | 100.9 | 27.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.49 | 29.5 | 27.3 |
| Emilia Cella | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.2 | -5 | -1.2 | -63.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Angelena Ukeagu | - | 5 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -9 | -1.3 | -35.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Zaria Reese | - | 14 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -25 | -1.9 | -90.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.93 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Mia Sherill | - | 9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -11 | -1.4 | -70.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Cadence Meyer | - | 13 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -3 | -0.2 | -5.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.76 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Quinn O'Leary | - | 9 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -0.7 | -46 | -4.6 | -77.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.93 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Emma Morris | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -0.4 | -7 | -1.4 | -54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.37 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Danijah Fluellen | - | 3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 53.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Amara Defrank | - | 3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -13 | -3.2 | -157.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG