Westminster (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 851 (#578) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 862 (#545) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 902 (#673) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.7 (#286) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.9 (#612) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.133 (#714) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.035 (#723) | AdjNet -28.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.032 (#726) | AdjNet -29.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.114 (#733) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 87.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.324 (#650) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 78.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.239 (#633) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.247 (#636) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 891 (#484) | RD 74 | GP 42 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Knox | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Juniata | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Coe | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Albion | L | 60 - 90 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Penn St.-Shenango | W | 101 - 71 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Muskingum | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 85 - 87 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Webster | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA | W | 88 - 54 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Principia | W | 85 - 49 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Allegheny | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Eureka | W | 96 - 79 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Thiel | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 56 - 100 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Loras | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Alma | W | 100 - 64 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Albion | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Rhodes | L | 61 - 103 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Hendrix | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Otterbein | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Webster | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | William Woods | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Grove City | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Spalding | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Greenville | L | 118 - 122 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Hiram | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Franciscan | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Blackburn | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Geneva | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lyon | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Thiel | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Principia | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Eureka | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Chatham | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Allegheny | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 84 - 105 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Spalding | L | 64 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Harrell | - | 20 | 33.2 | 19.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 14.8 | 10.9 | 105 | 5.5 | 21.6 | 49.2 | 36.7 | 70.8 | -0.64 | 56.9 | 52.9 |
| Walker Gohring | - | 20 | 33.1 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 27 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 41.0 | 33.0 | 81.0 | -0.01 | 51.3 | 46.4 |
| Drew Weir | - | 21 | 30.9 | 14.3 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 10.7 | 11.5 | 120 | 5.7 | 22.6 | 47.8 | 28.9 | 64.5 | -0.14 | 56.6 | 53.6 |
| Kolton Garner | - | 20 | 27.1 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 7.5 | -20 | -1.0 | -7.2 | 39.4 | 35.8 | 85.7 | -1.15 | 55.7 | 51.6 |
| Trey DePietro | - | 19 | 25.2 | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 32 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 53.0 | 30.6 | 76.4 | -0.24 | 60.3 | 56.4 |
| Jamile Johnson | - | 21 | 27.5 | 11.7 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 14.3 | -54 | -2.7 | -18.7 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 49.5 | 0.12 | 61.2 | 62.5 |
| Nick Ryan | - | 21 | 25.1 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 44.9 | 34.8 | 80.8 | -2.49 | 57.5 | 52.5 |
| Sean LeRose | - | 21 | 20.2 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 3.0 | -37 | -2.1 | -16.0 | 41.5 | 38.0 | 82.8 | -0.41 | 53.9 | 49.6 |
| Mick Hergenrother | - | 20 | 29.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 130 | 6.5 | 26.7 | 41.8 | 34.7 | 50.0 | 2.73 | 53.5 | 53.2 |
| Lucas Stanley | - | 21 | 18.2 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 59 | 2.8 | 18.9 | 36.8 | 31.2 | 88.9 | 0.81 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Aidan Temple | - | 16 | 19.0 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 14 | 0.9 | 14.7 | 35.0 | 26.9 | 54.5 | 0.35 | 42.9 | 42.0 |
| Gavin Hendrix | - | 18 | 20.9 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 7.3 | -46 | -2.9 | -22.5 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 65.9 | -1.63 | 47.8 | 41.2 |
| Roman Philips | - | 21 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 5.3 | -44 | -2.6 | -31.3 | 59.3 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.86 | 57.3 | 59.3 |
| Kobe Jones | - | 20 | 20.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 0.6 | -17 | -4.2 | -9.1 | 34.5 | 22.2 | 40.0 | -0.16 | 36.7 | 35.6 |
| Jaxon Hendershott | - | 21 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 91 | 4.3 | 45.6 | 32.9 | 27.3 | 87.5 | 0.08 | 47.7 | 45.2 |
| Isaac Busch | - | 13 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 5 | 0.5 | 7.4 | 48.4 | 57.1 | 90.9 | 0.49 | 61.4 | 54.8 |
| Kaden Howard | - | 2 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -17.4 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.54 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Matt Martucci | - | 3 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Alex Rothwell | - | 13 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 60.9 | 0 | 41.2 | -3.02 | 57.4 | 60.9 |
| Carter Anderson | - | 17 | 11.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 34.7 | 24.3 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 44.3 | 43.9 |
| Carlitos Sanchez | - | 21 | 16.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 10 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 25.0 | 31.8 | 73.7 | 0.15 | 36.6 | 30.5 |
| Rylan Dye | - | 5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4 | 1.0 | 81.4 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.13 | 73.5 | 80.0 |
| Jibri Carter Jr. | - | 11 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.15 | 65.6 | 70.0 |
| Skevos Kouros | - | 15 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 6 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.42 | 52.8 | 55.0 |
| Luke Rohan | - | 4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.75 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Adam Abuzaid | - | 6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Bryon Gold | - | 7 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 16.7 | 25.0 | - | 37.2 | 38.9 |
| Jaden Rochester | - | 7 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 0.7 | 31.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.59 | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Holmes Hansen | - | 7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 12.5 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 27.2 | 25.0 |
| Joshua Solida | - | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.7 | 160.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Trevor Siefke | - | 10 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.9 | 16.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| JJ Smith | - | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 116 | 5.3 | 29.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Gunnar Guinnee | - | 3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 21.6 | 0.0 |
| Ray Austin | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Evanchec | - | 3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Vizzoca | - | 5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.4 | -2 | -0.5 | -40.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Grant Howell | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brady DePietro | - | 2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Taylor | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -2.0 | -222.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG