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Western Wash.

Also known as: Western Wash.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1011 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1013 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#271) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +7.5 (#133) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +4.7 (#246) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.643 (#107) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +24.7 More โ†’ 0.946 (#161) NetEff +24.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.6 More โ†’ 0.791 (#106) AdjNet +11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More โ†’ 0.794 (#108) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 78.8 More โ†’ 0.695 (#104) AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 78.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 78.9 More โ†’ 0.584 (#169) AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 78.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.577 (#256) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.580 (#248) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 24 More โ†’ 1029 (#195) RD 94 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs CSUSB - Incomplete score
2025-11-02 @ Central Okla. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Chaminade - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Hawaii Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 vs UCCS - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Northwest Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Central Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 vs Langara (CAN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Colorado Mesa - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Missouri S&T - Incomplete score
2026-01-01 @ Alas. Fairbanks - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Alas. Anchorage - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 vs Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Mont. St. Billings - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Saint Martin's - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Western Ore. - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Simon Fraser - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Alas. Anchorage - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Alas. Fairbanks - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Mont. St. Billings - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-02-12 vs Western Ore. L 62 - 74
2026-02-14 vs Saint Martin's W 90 - 81
2026-02-21 @ Simon Fraser L 74 - 77
2026-02-26 @ Central Wash. W 103 - 92
2026-02-28 @ Northwest Nazarene L 84 - 87

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.