Western State Colorado University
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 776 (#1077) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 776 (#1089) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#314) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#563) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.2 (#449) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.467 (#371) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.326 (#417) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.349 (#412) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 896 (#418) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-10 | @ | Wyoming Cowboys | L | 42 - 62 |
| 2012-11-15 | @ | Air Force Falcons | L | 68 - 102 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Shepherd
|
- | 2 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.63 | 100.0 | 55.0 |
C. Joseph
|
- | 2 | 25.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.24 | 90.2 | 66.7 |
J. Adams
|
G | 2 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.22 | 91.9 | 40.0 |
T. Boyd
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
M. Vandahl
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
S. Aldridge
|
- | 2 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG