Western Oregon Wolves
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 960 (#618) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 959 (#685) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#249) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.6 (#573) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.7 (#433) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.474 (#338) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.354 (#392) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.378 (#382) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 951 (#259) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-08 | @ | Utah State Aggies | L | 57 - 86 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Avgi
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 52.8 | 41.7 |
D. Alexander
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -122 | -4.2 | -5.7 | 36.4 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
J. Wiley
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -70 | -3.9 | -20.7 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.97 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
R. Webster
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
D. Johnson
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 147 | 4.7 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG