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Western Ore.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Western Ore.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 914 (#370) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 939 (#497) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.6 (#145) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.0 (#349) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.207 (#484) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +62.5 More → 0.999 (#30) NetEff +62.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.401 (#460) AdjNet -3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.406 (#457) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.452 (#454) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.435 (#413) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#362) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 953 (#272) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay L 67 - 86
2025-11-15 vs Menlo W 76 - 57
2025-11-21 vs Westminster (UT) L 68 - 76
2025-11-22 vs Westmont W 68 - 50
2025-11-28 vs Okla. Christian L 55 - 66
2025-11-29 vs Cal State LA W 74 - 70
2025-12-04 vs Alas. Fairbanks L 70 - 80
2025-12-06 vs Alas. Anchorage L 56 - 64
2025-12-13 vs Linfield W 57 - 55
2025-12-18 @ Westminster (UT) W 78 - 72
2025-12-19 @ Eastern N.M. L 79 - 81
2026-01-01 @ Mont. St. Billings L 75 - 83
2026-01-03 @ Seattle Pacific L 54 - 67
2026-01-10 @ Saint Martin's L 57 - 74
2026-01-15 vs Simon Fraser W 76 - 59
2026-01-17 vs Western Wash. W 74 - 68
2026-01-22 @ Northwest Nazarene L 71 - 83
2026-01-24 @ Central Wash. L 75 - 92
2026-01-29 vs Seattle Pacific W 50 - 49
2026-01-31 vs Mont. St. Billings L 74 - 84
2026-02-07 vs Saint Martin's L 55 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jose Murillo - 1 35.1 26.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 19.0 96 4.8 22.5 73.3 0 57.1 2.1 71.9 73.3
Mo Austin - 1 35.9 20.0 13.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 28.0 127 6.0 26.6 53.3 0.0 66.7 1.28 56.7 53.3
Jadin Penigar - 20 34.8 19.9 5.0 1.2 1.0 0.5 2.0 15.8 9.9 -79 -3.8 -15.9 44.9 38.3 86.5 -0.72 57.2 53.0
Cooper Jackson - 1 36.1 12.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 122 5.8 28.5 42.9 100.0 100.0 0.56 68.5 57.1
Braydon Olson - 19 19.4 9.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.8 9.2 3.8 -35 -1.8 -11.8 40.8 37.6 57.1 -3.3 51.6 50.9
Carson Frincke - 20 26.2 8.9 2.9 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.6 7.7 5.3 -32 -1.5 -7.2 39.2 37.3 91.7 0.71 56.2 54.6
AB Gilchrist - 20 30.9 7.8 3.2 2.5 1.1 0.2 2.2 6.8 5.8 -43 -2.0 -9.0 36.8 33.8 76.7 2.39 50.3 45.2
Noah Ogoli - 20 30.4 7.2 4.0 3.1 1.1 0.1 1.6 5.7 8.2 -45 -2.1 -10.3 45.6 35.3 72.3 -1.34 53.5 48.2
Austin Abrams - 1 18.5 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 0.0 51 2.4 12.7 33.3 100.0 0 0.71 38.9 38.9
Raul Stanford - 1 16.6 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 50.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Treyvon Byrd - 1 24.6 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 125 6.9 29.3 33.3 50.0 0 2.31 41.7 41.7
Peter-Kaci Gwananji - 15 21.1 5.0 3.7 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.3 3.9 7.2 -6 -0.4 -1.9 55.2 33.3 71.4 1.52 58.4 56.0
Parker Bauman - 20 12.6 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.9 3.0 30 1.4 21.2 41.0 36.4 75.0 0.82 52.7 51.3
O'shen Cazimero - 10 19.1 3.6 1.0 2.9 0.9 0.0 1.1 2.6 4.7 -18 -1.6 -18.5 53.8 12.5 70.0 -1.78 59.2 55.8
Brady Grier - 13 21.2 2.8 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.6 6.7 29 1.9 21.8 42.9 0.0 90.0 1.06 60.4 42.9
Brandon Kehres - 1 4.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4 0.3 177.8 50.0 0 0 -0.48 50.0 50.0
Makaio Mims - 5 12.2 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.4 - - - 60.0 0 75.0 - 66.6 60.0
Ty Best - 5 12.2 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.4 -12 -2.0 -99.7 60.0 0 75.0 0.51 66.6 60.0
Graham Eikenberry - 14 7.8 1.6 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0 2.6 -1 -0.1 -1.5 71.4 0 66.7 -0.7 71.8 71.4
Alex Alfaro - 1 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44 2.3 60.7 0 0 0 1.1 0 0
Trevon Chambers - 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG