🐻⬇️🏀

Western New Mexico

Also known as: Western New Mexico Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 995 (#359) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -5.4 (#578) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -8.7 (#456) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.462 (#421) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.321 (#450) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#443) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 899 (#475) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ UTEP Miners L 57 - 85
2021-11-22 @ New Mexico Lobos L 63 - 88

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Doss J. Doss - 1 22.0 18.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 -0.04 54.7 53.1
T. Avalos T. Avalos - 1 19.0 17.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 80.0 0.23 83.3 81.2
A. Leonard A. Leonard - 1 20.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 3.0 - - - 36.4 44.4 0 -0.21 54.5 54.5
R. Banks R. Banks - 1 19.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 100.0 -0.44 38.1 28.6
A. Cash A. Cash - 1 23.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -3 -0.1 -0.3 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.19 69.4 75.0
M. Johnson M. Johnson - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 239 6.5 13.5 25.0 0 0 1.7 25.0 25.0
D. Arnette D. Arnette - 1 21.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 0 0.0 -0.41 20.5 25.0
J. Turner J. Turner - 1 17.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -1.0 311 9.1 18.8 20.0 0 0 1.67 20.0 20.0
J. Arnette J. Arnette G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Andrade A. Andrade - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Manzano B. Manzano - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
I. Hohenstein I. Hohenstein - 1 18.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.72 0.0 0.0
O. Pedersen O. Pedersen - 1 13.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.48 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG