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Western Illinois

Also known as: Western Illinois Leathernecks
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 779 (#748) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1062 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More β†’ 982 (#491) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More β†’ +15.1 (#319) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More β†’ +6.0 (#269) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.8 More β†’ 0.494 (#253) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.639 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.601 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 28 More β†’ 996 (#217) RD 150 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Wilson D. Wilson F 2 22.0 18.0 5.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 5.0 22.0 314 9.2 15.0 50.0 0.0 83.3 1.88 142.4 50.0
T. Massner T. Massner - 28 36.1 16.9 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.6 2.2 2.6 25.1 54 1.7 1.9 43.8 33.3 61.9 0.51 288.2 50.0
L. Barisic L. Barisic F 26 28.3 14.2 6.2 1.4 0.2 0.4 1.6 2.4 18.4 31 1.0 1.4 39.7 33.3 75.0 0.24 270.2 49.2
W. Carius W. Carius F 26 34.3 14.0 2.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.3 2.5 14.9 57 1.8 2.1 34.4 27.5 93.3 0.77 257.8 43.0
D. BΓΆhm D. BΓΆhm F 1 30.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 20.0 -51 -2.5 -8.7 0 0 0 -0.9 0 0
C. Sandage C. Sandage - 26 31.6 12.6 4.0 2.6 1.2 0.3 2.0 1.9 16.8 71 2.3 3.0 53.1 46.4 81.2 0.62 291.8 66.3
D. Simmons D. Simmons G 1 34.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 1.0 -34 -2.0 -4.1 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.19 51.1 38.9
B. Hedstrom B. Hedstrom G 2 25.0 10.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 13.0 -17 -0.6 -1.0 0 0 0 0.21 0 0
T. Pearson T. Pearson - 18 24.6 10.4 5.4 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.1 1.3 14.4 -1 -0.0 -0.1 56.5 50.0 63.6 -0.32 335.8 58.7
E. Lufile E. Lufile F 2 17.5 10.0 8.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 18.0 131 4.7 11.6 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
F. Lacis F. Lacis F 2 26.5 8.5 5.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 15.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Cunningham K. Cunningham G 2 20.5 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 14 0.7 4.0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
Francis Okwuosah Francis Okwuosah - 1 19.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Ames J. Ames C 1 12.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 13 1.9 8.5 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
G. Dixon G. Dixon G 25 17.1 4.3 4.9 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 9.6 45 1.5 3.5 50.0 0 70.0 0.41 264.7 50.0
C. Burrell C. Burrell F 19 14.3 3.2 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 7.4 -39 -1.4 -4.5 42.9 0 0.0 -0.2 366.6 42.9
J. Morris J. Morris F 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1 0.0 0.2 100.0 0 100.0 0.09 104.2 100.0
JJ Flores JJ Flores - 18 12.7 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.5 3.6 6 0.3 0.8 33.3 50.0 50.0 0.07 189.0 38.9
KJ Lee KJ Lee - 22 10.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 3.2 -63 -2.3 -9.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 -0.91 356.1 58.3
A. Anhold A. Anhold F 10 4.3 1.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.8 -15 -1.2 -10.7 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.22 193.3 33.3
Jaylon Gentry Jaylon Gentry G 2 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 12 1.0 11.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.03 150.0 0.0
D. Wingett D. Wingett F 2 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -11 -0.7 -3.9 100.0 0 0 -0.64 100.0 100.0
B. Lamar B. Lamar - 12 5.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.08 500.0 0.0
M. Wade M. Wade - 7 2.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 -19 -1.2 -7.5 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
B. Andre B. Andre F 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -62 -2.5 -4.0 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0
Robert Jeter Iv Robert Jeter Iv - 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -28 -2.3 -31.1 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
S. Sims S. Sims F 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -25 -1.9 -10.8 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
L. Eller L. Eller F 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.66 0 0
Z. Theisen Z. Theisen - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 45 2.8 17.2 0 0 0 0.37 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG