Western Ill.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1143 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1140 (#93) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1032 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1108 (#87) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.8 (#128) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.1 (#277) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#62) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.911 (#234) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#29) | NetEff +85.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#51) | AdjNet +56.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.839 (#249) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#55) | AdjNet +55.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.836 (#251) | AdjNet +13.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.987 (#13) | AdjO 104.5 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.670 (#262) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 56.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.719 (#108) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 54.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.751 (#167) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.743 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1159 (#100) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 74 - 50 |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-17 | @ | Springfield | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | Lasell | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Gordon | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | U New England | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2015-12-08 | vs | Roger Williams | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-29 | vs | Arcadia | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-05 | vs | Wentworth | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-07 | @ | Nichols | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Endicott | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2016-01-14 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Eastern Nazarene | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2016-01-19 | vs | Curry | W | 85 - 50 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | U New England | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Gordon | W | 69 - 24 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Roger Williams | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-02 | @ | Wentworth | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Nichols | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Curry | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Eastern Nazarene | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2016-02-16 | @ | Salve Regina | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Endicott | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2016-02-23 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2016-02-25 | vs | Roger Williams | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | U New England | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-05 | vs | Suffolk | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2016-03-06 | vs | Keene St. | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.