Western Colo.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#507) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 851 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 843 (#576) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.7 (#294) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.0 (#441) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.256 (#458) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.018 (#285) | NetEff -32.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.411 (#456) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.412 (#455) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.456 (#452) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.327 (#521) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.276 (#490) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.273 (#500) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 795 (#459) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Colorado Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | UT Permian Basin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Cameron | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Midwestern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan McDowell | - | 23 | 36.8 | 27.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 17.8 | 15.0 | -64 | -2.9 | -9.7 | 46.8 | 37.8 | 90.0 | -0.86 | 63.9 | 56.1 |
| Tyler Halligan | - | 23 | 27.6 | 12.6 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 7.4 | 18 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 43.1 | 28.7 | 61.8 | 0.07 | 49.3 | 47.4 |
| Jordan Kuac | - | 23 | 30.6 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 17 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 41.6 | 31.5 | 55.8 | 3.14 | 49.4 | 48.2 |
| Quincy Scott | - | 22 | 23.2 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.8 | -36 | -1.6 | -7.0 | 44.1 | 32.9 | 78.6 | 1.45 | 55.6 | 52.6 |
| Mason Mottashed | - | 23 | 30.3 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 6.3 | -40 | -1.8 | -7.6 | 42.4 | 37.3 | 78.0 | -0.61 | 61.3 | 56.0 |
| Joanis Koulisianis | - | 23 | 17.1 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 6.9 | -16 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 58.6 | 18.2 | 68.2 | 0.79 | 61.5 | 59.8 |
| Christian Still | - | 5 | 14.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Reese Strawn | - | 22 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.8 | -75 | -3.6 | -37.3 | 45.9 | 44.8 | 54.5 | -6.13 | 63.3 | 63.5 |
| Dawlton Grant | - | 20 | 16.8 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -10 | -0.5 | -5.3 | 54.8 | 0 | 68.4 | 0.07 | 59.7 | 54.8 |
| David Shelia | - | 23 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -27 | -1.2 | -25.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 36.4 | -2.55 | 48.3 | 50.0 |
| Adam Delin Massarsch | - | 7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -6 | -0.9 | -81.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Camden Kilbride | - | 5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -1.4 | - | - | - | 8.3 | 10.0 | 50.0 | - | 15.5 | 12.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG