Western Caro.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1029 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1017 (#263) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.6 (#154) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#35) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#44) | NetEff +50.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#58) | AdjNet +44.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#59) | AdjNet +43.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.928 (#56) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 47.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.496 (#372) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.632 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.636 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 73 - 34 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Azar | - | 1 | 31.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | -17 | -2.8 | -6.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.27 | 65.4 | 62.5 |
| Mya Love | - | 1 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 65.2 | 71.4 |
| Zanoria Cruz | - | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Bailey Trumm | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | - | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Lonasia Brewer | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Chelsea Wooten | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | - | 35.3 | 25.0 |
| Jada Burton | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Audrey Meyers | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Tamori Plantin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ewa Kielar | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyra Robinson | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -4.0 | -20 | -3.3 | -4.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Reagan Trumm | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG