🐻⬇️🏀

West Virginia St.

Also known as: West Virginia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 782 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 884 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 851 (#573) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -4.4 (#257) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -6.5 (#418) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.511 (#163) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.7 More → 0.200 (#266) NetEff -13.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.545 (#215) AdjNet +1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.614 (#191) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.556 (#203) AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 80.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.323 (#524) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 84.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.325 (#442) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.321 (#457) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 6 More → 777 (#473) RD 156 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Glenville St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Charleston (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs West Liberty - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Wheeling - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Frostburg St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 @ Point Park W 91 - 72
2026-02-14 vs Salem (WV) W 112 - 109
2026-02-18 @ Davis & Elkins L 70 - 88
2026-02-21 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 103 - 99
2026-02-25 @ Concord L 81 - 84
2026-02-28 vs Charleston (WV) L 64 - 84
2026-03-04 @ Frostburg St. L 85 - 93

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.