🐻⬇️🏀

West Florida

Also known as: West Florida
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1068 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1145 (#65) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1040 (#170) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.3 (#176) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.1 (#264) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.694 (#291) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.0 More → 0.531 (#271) NetEff +1.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.6 More → 0.871 (#232) AdjNet +16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.880 (#226) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 60.2 More → 0.738 (#219) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 60.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.552 (#247) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.641 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.630 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1034 (#222) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Palm Beach Atl. W 60 - 50
2025-11-15 @ Eckerd W 72 - 60
2025-11-18 vs Tuskegee W 75 - 69
2025-11-21 vs Central Mo. L 62 - 85
2025-11-24 @ P.R.-Rio Piedras L 0 - 0
2025-11-25 @ P.R.-Mayaguez L 0 - 0
2025-11-30 @ Columbus St. L 78 - 85
2025-12-04 vs UAH L 53 - 70
2025-12-06 vs West Ala. W 67 - 61
2025-12-13 vs Valdosta St. W 82 - 71
2025-12-20 @ Trevecca Nazarene W 69 - 62
2026-01-02 vs Delta St. W 64 - 63
2026-01-10 @ Union (TN) L 67 - 113
2026-01-15 vs AUM W 72 - 65
2026-01-17 vs Montevallo W 93 - 68
2026-01-22 @ West Ala. L 62 - 66
2026-01-23 @ UAH L 67 - 79
2026-01-31 @ Valdosta St. L 76 - 79
2026-02-05 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 62 - 76
2026-02-07 vs Lee W 64 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isabel Grimes - 18 31.6 14.4 3.6 3.1 1.1 0.1 2.8 9.8 9.7 45 2.1 8.3 49.4 38.1 76.1 2.83 60.1 54.0
Amelia Bell - 18 27.0 13.5 9.3 1.4 1.3 1.7 2.8 8.4 15.9 61 2.9 12.3 60.5 0 72.8 2.53 64.8 60.5
Avery O'Connor - 18 18.2 9.6 4.2 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.5 8.7 6.0 40 1.9 14.2 37.8 34.3 77.5 0.08 49.8 45.5
Janai Jordan - 18 23.1 8.3 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 2.6 8.7 2.5 57 2.7 11.1 32.1 24.6 82.1 -0.23 43.0 37.5
Annarose Tyre - 18 21.4 5.8 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.4 6.2 2.3 20 1.0 5.0 27.0 18.9 82.9 0.55 40.3 31.5
Finley Kennedy - 18 21.4 5.2 1.9 1.2 1.4 0.2 1.4 5.6 2.8 42 2.0 9.6 35.6 14.8 64.3 -1.54 41.5 37.6
Jakeria Hawkins - 16 21.5 3.9 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.1 2.3 4.1 2.6 69 3.8 18.0 34.8 16.7 68.4 1.88 42.4 37.9
Maddy Rendall - 16 11.2 2.6 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 3.0 2.6 6 0.3 3.9 35.4 25.0 50.0 -0.61 41.9 41.7
Chloe Galombeck - 12 4.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.2 31 2.4 42.6 50.0 61.5 50.0 1.47 67.7 68.2
Madilyn Rendall - 2 11.6 2.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 2.5 -6 -3.0 -8.7 28.6 20.0 0 -1.05 35.7 35.7
Ebba Zalamans - 17 12.4 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 1.9 2.7 12 0.6 5.2 43.8 0.0 52.6 1.04 47.1 43.8
Carmen Jones - 18 13.7 2.1 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.3 36 1.7 13.0 30.4 30.0 0 1.12 40.2 40.2
Kathryn Ford - 9 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 -0.1 -3 -0.3 -5.9 28.6 0 0.0 -0.84 26.9 28.6
Kamryn Barnitz - 7 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 -0.3 -6 -0.6 -19.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 -1.27 21.8 16.7
Ella Schepp - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG