West Florida
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1128 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1221 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1060 (#116) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.0 (#31) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.5 (#235) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.584 (#291) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.871 (#205) | NetEff +19.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.724 (#280) | AdjNet +8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.729 (#281) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.657 (#269) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.599 (#152) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.644 (#195) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#198) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1107 (#111) | RD 146 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | @ | West Ala. | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | UAH | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 100 - 103 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lee | W | 68 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aric Demings | - | 5 | 32.0 | 20.4 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 77 | 3.3 | 55.1 | 50.6 | 52.6 | 73.7 | 1.7 | 59.7 | 57.1 |
| Elijah Wyche | - | 5 | 35.2 | 16.0 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 12.2 | 14.2 | 88 | 3.8 | 63.8 | 47.5 | 66.7 | 76.9 | 0.85 | 55.2 | 49.2 |
| Tim Hall Jr. | - | 5 | 28.8 | 12.6 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 106 | 5.9 | 81.2 | 68.9 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.93 | 68.7 | 68.9 |
| Shahar Lazar | - | 3 | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.7 | -51 | -2.4 | -76.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 80.0 | -0.87 | 61.6 | 56.2 |
| Ryan Payne | - | 5 | 31.9 | 9.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 59 | 2.6 | 72.2 | 38.5 | 36.1 | 83.3 | -0.05 | 57.6 | 55.1 |
| Christian Monroe | - | 5 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 30.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.9 | 51.8 |
| Julius King, Jr. | - | 2 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 125 | 6.9 | 53.9 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 2.11 | 53.6 | 43.8 |
| Christian Valarezo | - | 3 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 55.0 | 45.5 |
| Sano Rutatika | - | 2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.5 | -13 | -1.0 | -229.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Colby McAllister | - | 5 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 9 | 0.5 | 21.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.24 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Jordan Samuel | - | 5 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -5.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 20.0 | 1.1 | 34.7 | 40.0 |
| Hutson Rowe | - | 2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 5.0 | 27.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG