🐻⬇️🏀

West Chester

Also known as: West Chester
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1044 (#115) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1183 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1048 (#128) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.7 (#58) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.2 (#205) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.736 (#191) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +31.6 More → 0.971 (#138) NetEff +31.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.2 More → 0.764 (#257) AdjNet +10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.2 More → 0.768 (#259) AdjNet +10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.663 (#266) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 76.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.629 (#117) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.664 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.658 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 7 More → 1123 (#98) RD 138 | GP 7

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Shepherd W 80 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Lock Haven W 73 - 62
2026-01-29 @ East Stroudsburg W 85 - 82
2026-01-31 vs Mansfield W 91 - 66
2026-02-02 vs Millersville L 75 - 82
2026-02-04 @ Kutztown W 73 - 53
2026-02-07 @ Shippensburg L 74 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony McCall - 7 24.1 13.4 3.4 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.9 10.3 8.3 92 4.2 25.3 47.2 36.8 79.2 0.92 56.9 52.1
Gabe Moss - 7 26.7 13.0 5.4 1.0 0.9 1.0 2.0 7.1 12.1 80 3.6 20.6 64.0 0.0 69.2 -1.74 67.7 64.0
Ruben Rodriguez - 7 31.3 12.4 7.1 6.4 2.0 0.1 2.7 10.0 15.4 182 8.3 40.7 38.6 8.3 76.2 3.26 49.2 39.3
Dylan Blair - 7 30.1 8.7 2.4 3.9 0.0 0.1 1.6 7.3 6.3 134 6.1 31.0 41.2 48.4 44.4 4.08 55.5 55.9
Jaysean Williams - 7 21.5 8.6 1.3 2.1 1.0 0.0 0.7 5.0 7.3 87 4.0 28.7 48.6 42.9 94.4 -2.92 69.9 61.4
Dinari Boykin - 6 21.0 6.8 2.7 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.7 5.0 5.5 21 1.1 7.2 46.7 45.0 66.7 0.06 62.8 61.7
Joe Sedora - 7 12.1 4.6 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.0 3.6 86 3.9 47.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 2.97 53.8 50.0
Gavin Dalen - 7 7.3 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.3 38 1.7 41.8 58.8 0 33.3 -2.11 57.3 58.8
Myles Grey - 5 8.5 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.0 2.4 63 3.3 75.8 60.0 33.3 0 -1.13 65.0 65.0
Luke Boyd - 6 6.5 2.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.2 72 3.6 79.3 53.8 25.0 0 0.54 57.7 57.7
Larenzo Jerkins - 7 8.0 2.4 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.7 1.9 3.1 78 4.1 64.5 46.2 25.0 100.0 -1.01 57.6 50.0
Xavier Vann - 6 5.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.8 12 0.6 15.5 75.0 50.0 50.0 -0.84 78.8 81.2
Nix Varano - 4 4.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 46 3.3 92.7 33.3 50.0 0 0.49 50.0 50.0
Donovan Fromhartz - 3 3.4 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 23 2.6 90.0 33.3 0.0 0 -1.04 33.3 33.3
Davante Dennis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Warren - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG