🐻⬇️🏀

West Ala.

Also known as: West Ala.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1178 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1095 (#77) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +20.5 (#14) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.2 (#292) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.801 (#160) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +64.6 More → 0.999 (#29) NetEff +64.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.1 More → 0.865 (#180) AdjNet +16.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.2 More → 0.870 (#179) AdjNet +16.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.748 (#182) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 72.1 More → 0.539 (#229) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 72.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.621 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.610 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 7 More → 1164 (#67) RD 144 | GP 7

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-06 @ West Florida W 60 - 57
2026-01-22 vs West Florida L 75 - 78
2026-01-24 vs Valdosta St. W 75 - 66
2026-01-29 @ Trevecca Nazarene W 106 - 102
2026-01-31 @ Lee L 51 - 77
2026-02-05 vs Mississippi Col. W 73 - 53
2026-02-07 vs Delta St. W 86 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rasean Frederick - 7 26.6 13.9 5.0 2.0 0.4 0.6 1.4 10.7 9.7 56 2.7 24.4 44.0 100.0 88.2 0.85 53.9 44.7
BJ Brown Jr. - 7 36.5 12.3 4.9 4.7 2.0 0.1 2.9 12.7 8.4 115 5.2 37.2 37.1 31.8 52.0 1.06 43.0 41.0
Elliot Tulip - 7 26.2 11.1 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 8.6 4.6 81 3.7 51.3 40.0 38.1 100.0 0.49 58.9 53.3
Christian Thompson - 7 27.6 9.4 9.9 0.6 0.9 1.4 0.9 5.7 15.6 53 3.3 217.8 55.0 0 53.7 0.63 56.9 55.0
Caleb Parr - 7 28.7 8.7 4.7 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.9 7.3 8.1 209 9.5 82.5 43.1 32.3 87.5 1.11 55.9 52.9
Jakobe Singleton - 7 19.2 8.4 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 5.4 6.0 61 2.8 23.9 55.3 0 77.3 0.25 61.9 55.3
Inslee Carroll - 4 10.4 6.2 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 5.0 83 6.4 133.3 55.6 28.6 60.0 1.31 61.9 61.1
Travion McCray - 7 17.9 5.9 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.9 4.1 3.7 70 3.2 55.6 41.4 44.4 69.2 -0.26 59.0 55.2
Albright Obode - 7 11.0 1.3 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.4 4.1 111 5.5 88.3 30.0 0 75.0 3.71 38.3 30.0
KJ Anderson - 2 8.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 -2.0 59 5.4 57.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.35 20.5 0.0
Amillion Buggs - 2 7.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 22 4.4 66.0 33.3 0 0.0 -1.02 25.8 33.3
Braden Peters - 2 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 1 0.2 9.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.58 0.0 0.0
Tristan Watson - 2 8.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.5 0.5 37 4.6 91.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG