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Welch

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2019
Also known as: Welch
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1025 (#267) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -4.6 (#428) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.263 (#554) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -29.0 More → 0.033 (#626) AdjNet -29.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.5 More → 0.030 (#622) AdjNet -29.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 49.0 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.149 (#629) AdjO 49.0 | AdjD 68.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.476 (#427) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#409) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.470 (#410) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 313 | GP 2 More → 1113 (#138) RD 313 | GP 2

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-01-13 @ Asbury L 46 - 75
2024-02-13 vs Asbury L 51 - 88

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
MACEY BOWMAN - 1 38.0 20.0 7.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 14.0 - - - 38.9 50.0 50.0 -0.4 50.6 50.0
FAITHE JOHNSTONE - 1 33.0 12.0 13.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 16.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 -0.35 63.6 66.7
OLIVIA DELK - 1 28.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 -0.35 40.0 40.0
SERENITY SMITH - 1 19.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -1.0 95 5.3 8.1 50.0 50.0 0 0.54 62.5 62.5
CAROLINE WATTS - 1 30.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 -0.3 37.5 37.5
KARILYN WIETING - 1 33.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 12.5 25.0 0 -0.37 18.8 18.8
JAHLEH SCOTT - 1 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG