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Weber State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History
Coach: Randy Rahe

2018 Team Stats (1 games)

55.0
PPG
80.0
Opp
-25.0
Margin
34.6%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
29.0
RPG
5.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.7
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#146
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1000 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1058 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1048 (#100) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +1.4 (#148) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +0.3 (#165) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.610 (#105) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.503 (#165) AdjNet +0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.503 (#165) AdjNet +0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.532 (#146) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.521 (#147) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.545 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.543 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 28 More → 1038 (#140) RD 133 | GP 28

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Utah State Aggies W 65 - 59
2017-11-14 vs West Coast Baptist Eagles W 110 - 45
2017-11-17 @ Iona Gaels L 72 - 80
2017-11-18 @ James Madison Dukes W 73 - 65
2017-11-19 @ Bradley Braves L 64 - 70
2017-11-25 vs Black Hills State Yellow Jackets W 105 - 52
2017-11-30 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 71 - 83
2017-12-06 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 56 - 83
2017-12-09 @ BYU Cougars L 68 - 74
2017-12-16 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 96 - 74
2017-12-19 vs Pepperdine Waves W 72 - 67
2017-12-22 vs Presentation College Saints W 88 - 48
2017-12-30 vs Idaho State Bengals L 60 - 62
2018-01-04 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 95 - 55
2018-01-06 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 92 - 76
2018-01-11 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 78 - 74
2018-01-13 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 79 - 89
2018-01-18 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 80 - 64
2018-01-20 vs Portland State Vikings W 84 - 79
2018-01-27 @ Idaho State Bengals W 77 - 70
2018-02-01 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 90 - 80
2018-02-03 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 87 - 55
2018-02-08 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 84 - 76
2018-02-10 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 71 - 66
2018-02-15 @ Portland State Vikings W 95 - 86
2018-02-17 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 83 - 73
2018-02-22 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 70 - 75
2018-02-24 vs Idaho Vandals L 62 - 68
2018-03-01 @ Montana Grizzlies L 57 - 75
2018-03-03 @ Montana State Bobcats W 95 - 92
2018-03-08 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 55 - 80

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jerrick Harding Jerrick Harding G 27 32.5 22.2 3.6 1.6 1.0 0.2 2.4 3.1 23.1 16 21 0.8 1.0 55.4 36.4 78.6 -0.33 314.7 60.2
Ryan Richardson Ryan Richardson G 27 31.9 13.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 16.7 34 21 1.6 2.1 45.2 33.3 77.8 0.11 384.0 54.8
Zach Braxton Zach Braxton C 26 28.0 12.5 8.0 1.5 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 20.7 36 20 1.8 2.8 33.3 0 75.0 0.5 388.8 33.3
Brekkott Chapman Brekkott Chapman F 25 26.5 10.4 5.8 1.4 0.8 1.7 2.4 1.0 16.6 46 19 2.4 4.0 44.0 33.3 100.0 1.75 461.2 48.0
Dusty Baker Dusty Baker G 27 26.1 7.3 4.3 4.0 0.9 0.1 1.4 0.4 14.7 47 21 2.2 3.8 20.0 25.0 100.0 0.23 783.2 30.0
Michal Kozak Michal Kozak F 27 26.1 5.4 4.9 1.0 0.4 0.6 1.4 0.6 10.2 6 21 0.3 0.5 35.3 22.2 50.0 -1.98 391.8 41.2
Ricky Nelson Ricky Nelson - 27 19.1 4.4 0.9 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.5 6.5 51 21 2.4 5.6 30.8 0.0 37.5 0.37 357.1 30.8
Trevon Ary-Turner Trevon Ary-Turner G 15 10.7 3.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 4.6 14 10 1.4 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.46 1106.6 0.0
Brenden Morris Brenden Morris F 6 5.2 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
Jordan Dallas Jordan Dallas C 17 8.8 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.0 3.8 30 15 2.0 9.8 0 0 0 0.21 0 0
Riley Court Riley Court G 10 5.3 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 2.3 -1 7 -0.1 -1.8 0.0 0 0 -2.33 550.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG