Weber State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1215 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1250 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1153 (#17) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.0 (#93) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.7 (#67) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#40) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.691 (#104) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.692 (#104) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.619 (#82) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.639 (#50) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.720 (#58) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.723 (#55) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1266 (#21) | RD 124 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | N | UC Santa Barbara | W | 91 - 82 |
| 2002-11-23 | N | Ball State | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2002-11-30 | vs | Nevada | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2002-12-06 | N | North Texas | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2002-12-07 | N | Morris Brown | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Green Bay | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2002-12-17 | @ | Portland | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Utah State | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2002-12-23 | @ | Boise State | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2002-12-29 | N | Maine | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2003-01-03 | @ | Utah | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2003-01-08 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2003-01-16 | vs | Montana State | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Montana | W | 97 - 73 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Northern Arizona | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Sacramento State | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2003-01-30 | vs | Portland State | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Eastern Washington | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | Idaho State | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Idaho State | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2003-02-13 | @ | Montana | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Montana State | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2003-02-20 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2003-02-27 | @ | Eastern Washington | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Portland State | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2003-03-11 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 82 - 60 |
| 2003-03-12 | vs | Eastern Washington | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2003-03-20 | N | Wisconsin | L | 74 - 81 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.