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Weber State

Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1244 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1156 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1122 (#30) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +7.8 (#81) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +8.4 (#71) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.683 (#74) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.7 More โ†’ 0.774 (#83) AdjNet +10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.8 More โ†’ 0.777 (#83) AdjNet +10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.673 (#73) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 66.9 More โ†’ 0.656 (#49) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.729 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.726 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1192 (#43) RD 109 | GP 27

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-12-01 N Delaware L 70 - 82
1994-12-02 N Wagner W 83 - 57
1994-12-10 @ Utah L 54 - 71
1994-12-16 N Old Dominion L 86 - 94
1994-12-17 N Baylor W 109 - 84
1994-12-21 vs Brigham Young W 86 - 74
1994-12-23 @ Wyoming L 56 - 58
1994-12-28 @ Purdue L 75 - 89
1995-01-03 vs Southern Utah W 94 - 85
1995-01-12 vs Montana State W 86 - 80
1995-01-14 vs Montana L 87 - 92
1995-01-19 @ Boise State W 65 - 61
1995-01-21 @ Idaho State L 70 - 86
1995-01-26 vs Idaho W 73 - 56
1995-01-28 vs Eastern Washington W 72 - 59
1995-02-04 @ Northern Arizona W 72 - 63
1995-02-09 @ Montana W 57 - 54
1995-02-11 @ Montana State W 79 - 75
1995-02-16 vs Idaho State W 89 - 73
1995-02-18 vs Boise State W 72 - 68
1995-02-23 @ Eastern Washington W 83 - 74
1995-02-27 @ Idaho L 70 - 71
1995-03-04 vs Northern Arizona W 85 - 67
1995-03-10 vs Idaho State W 71 - 65
1995-03-11 vs Montana W 84 - 62
1995-03-17 N Michigan State W 79 - 72
1995-03-19 N Georgetown L 51 - 53

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.