Weber State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1244 (#43) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1156 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1122 (#30) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +7.8 (#81) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.4 (#71) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.683 (#74) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.774 (#83) | AdjNet +10.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.777 (#83) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.673 (#73) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.656 (#49) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.729 (#57) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.726 (#53) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1192 (#43) | RD 109 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-12-01 | N | Delaware | L | 70 - 82 |
| 1994-12-02 | N | Wagner | W | 83 - 57 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Utah | L | 54 - 71 |
| 1994-12-16 | N | Old Dominion | L | 86 - 94 |
| 1994-12-17 | N | Baylor | W | 109 - 84 |
| 1994-12-21 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 86 - 74 |
| 1994-12-23 | @ | Wyoming | L | 56 - 58 |
| 1994-12-28 | @ | Purdue | L | 75 - 89 |
| 1995-01-03 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 94 - 85 |
| 1995-01-12 | vs | Montana State | W | 86 - 80 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Montana | L | 87 - 92 |
| 1995-01-19 | @ | Boise State | W | 65 - 61 |
| 1995-01-21 | @ | Idaho State | L | 70 - 86 |
| 1995-01-26 | vs | Idaho | W | 73 - 56 |
| 1995-01-28 | vs | Eastern Washington | W | 72 - 59 |
| 1995-02-04 | @ | Northern Arizona | W | 72 - 63 |
| 1995-02-09 | @ | Montana | W | 57 - 54 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Montana State | W | 79 - 75 |
| 1995-02-16 | vs | Idaho State | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Boise State | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1995-02-23 | @ | Eastern Washington | W | 83 - 74 |
| 1995-02-27 | @ | Idaho | L | 70 - 71 |
| 1995-03-04 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 85 - 67 |
| 1995-03-10 | vs | Idaho State | W | 71 - 65 |
| 1995-03-11 | vs | Montana | W | 84 - 62 |
| 1995-03-17 | N | Michigan State | W | 79 - 72 |
| 1995-03-19 | N | Georgetown | L | 51 - 53 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.