Weber State
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 968 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 925 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 997 (#148) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.2 (#181) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.2 (#170) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.506 (#138) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.379 (#180) | AdjNet -4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.377 (#180) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.440 (#175) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.490 (#146) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.440 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.450 (#164) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 946 (#179) | RD 128 | GP 27 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-28 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 65 - 81 |
| 1989-12-14 | @ | U.S. International | L | 82 - 86 |
| 1989-12-16 | vs | Utah | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1989-12-20 | @ | Utah State | L | 52 - 70 |
| 1989-12-21 | vs | North Texas | W | 96 - 69 |
| 1989-12-23 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 66 - 65 |
| 1989-12-30 | vs | Utah State | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1990-01-03 | @ | DePaul | L | 47 - 55 |
| 1990-01-09 | @ | Western Michigan | W | 47 - 46 |
| 1990-01-11 | vs | Nevada | W | 54 - 53 |
| 1990-01-13 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 67 - 49 |
| 1990-01-18 | vs | Idaho State | W | 86 - 68 |
| 1990-01-20 | vs | Montana | L | 51 - 65 |
| 1990-01-24 | @ | Eastern Washington | L | 79 - 81 |
| 1990-01-26 | @ | Idaho | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1990-02-01 | vs | Idaho | W | 74 - 57 |
| 1990-02-03 | @ | Boise State | L | 46 - 48 |
| 1990-02-08 | @ | Nevada | L | 71 - 79 |
| 1990-02-10 | @ | Northern Arizona | L | 58 - 67 |
| 1990-02-15 | vs | Eastern Washington | W | 77 - 66 |
| 1990-02-17 | @ | Idaho State | W | 54 - 52 |
| 1990-02-22 | @ | Montana | L | 63 - 65 |
| 1990-02-24 | @ | Montana State | L | 63 - 67 |
| 1990-03-01 | vs | Montana State | W | 91 - 74 |
| 1990-03-03 | vs | Boise State | W | 77 - 74 |
| 1990-03-08 | N | Nevada | W | 75 - 66 |
| 1990-03-09 | N | Eastern Washington | L | 67 - 83 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.