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Weber State

Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 968 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 925 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More โ†’ 997 (#148) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ -3.2 (#181) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -2.2 (#170) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.506 (#138) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More โ†’ 0.379 (#180) AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.4 More โ†’ 0.377 (#180) AdjNet -4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.440 (#175) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 67.7 More โ†’ 0.490 (#146) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.440 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.450 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 27 More โ†’ 946 (#179) RD 128 | GP 27

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-28 @ Brigham Young L 65 - 81
1989-12-14 @ U.S. International L 82 - 86
1989-12-16 vs Utah L 62 - 64
1989-12-20 @ Utah State L 52 - 70
1989-12-21 vs North Texas W 96 - 69
1989-12-23 vs Southern Utah W 66 - 65
1989-12-30 vs Utah State L 62 - 64
1990-01-03 @ DePaul L 47 - 55
1990-01-09 @ Western Michigan W 47 - 46
1990-01-11 vs Nevada W 54 - 53
1990-01-13 vs Northern Arizona W 67 - 49
1990-01-18 vs Idaho State W 86 - 68
1990-01-20 vs Montana L 51 - 65
1990-01-24 @ Eastern Washington L 79 - 81
1990-01-26 @ Idaho L 62 - 76
1990-02-01 vs Idaho W 74 - 57
1990-02-03 @ Boise State L 46 - 48
1990-02-08 @ Nevada L 71 - 79
1990-02-10 @ Northern Arizona L 58 - 67
1990-02-15 vs Eastern Washington W 77 - 66
1990-02-17 @ Idaho State W 54 - 52
1990-02-22 @ Montana L 63 - 65
1990-02-24 @ Montana State L 63 - 67
1990-03-01 vs Montana State W 91 - 74
1990-03-03 vs Boise State W 77 - 74
1990-03-08 N Nevada W 75 - 66
1990-03-09 N Eastern Washington L 67 - 83

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.