Waynesburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 983 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 945 (#406) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1032 (#240) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.0 (#225) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.5 (#436) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.407 (#487) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.642 (#306) | NetEff +4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.217 (#483) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.205 (#483) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.331 (#483) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.496 (#394) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.420 (#442) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.438 (#425) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 989 (#326) | RD 95 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 44 - 84 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Salisbury | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Carlow | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Mount Union | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hood | W | 86 - 54 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Franciscan | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Saint Vincent | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Muskingum | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Chatham | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Allegheny | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 44 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Geneva | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Bethany (WV) | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Franciscan | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Thiel | W | 85 - 49 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Saint Vincent | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hiram | W | 79 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keturah Stewart | - | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -40 | -2.0 | -13.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 70.0 | -2.17 | 51.8 | 41.7 |
| Nicole Miller | - | 1 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.88 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Kayla Nieberlein | - | 1 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.44 | 47.6 | 42.9 |
| Kalista Friday | - | 19 | 26.5 | 14.7 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 11.1 | 14.9 | 153 | 8.5 | 51.8 | 46.7 | 44.6 | 85.0 | 3.14 | 59.2 | 54.5 |
| Abby Plaugher | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 4.59 | 68.9 | 66.7 |
| Mia Henkins | - | 19 | 25.3 | 10.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 131 | 7.3 | 51.4 | 42.5 | 36.9 | 81.0 | 2.01 | 55.4 | 53.4 |
| Kara McFadden | - | 19 | 24.4 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 9.6 | 6.6 | 112 | 6.2 | 42.8 | 37.7 | 28.8 | 87.1 | 4.1 | 49.6 | 45.9 |
| Clara-Paige Miller | - | 18 | 23.3 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 142 | 8.4 | 58.3 | 37.4 | 26.8 | 68.0 | 5.02 | 46.6 | 42.3 |
| Julz Mohrbacher | - | 15 | 26.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 11.1 | 106 | 7.1 | 40.7 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 61.4 | -0.35 | 45.0 | 38.0 |
| Tori Wesolowski | - | 19 | 17.0 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 38 | 2.1 | 18.3 | 39.8 | 33.3 | 64.5 | -0.09 | 43.3 | 40.2 |
| Jen Juhring | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.85 | 39.3 | 20.0 |
| Macie Justice | - | 19 | 19.5 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 1.5 | -21 | -1.2 | -9.8 | 31.3 | 26.2 | 40.0 | -1.03 | 38.9 | 38.7 |
| Evelyn Steele | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 25 | 2.5 | 60.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.72 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Gracelin Corley | - | 18 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | -16 | -0.9 | -14.8 | 32.3 | 16.7 | 53.3 | 2.38 | 40.3 | 33.9 |
| Hannah Ault | - | 15 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.6 | 17.7 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 70.6 | -1.51 | 49.3 | 40.7 |
| Aubrey Burns | - | 19 | 11.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 | -38 | -2.1 | -28.8 | 29.2 | 30.8 | 0.0 | -0.71 | 40.9 | 41.7 |
| Liv Ammons | - | 11 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 28 | 2.5 | 22.7 | 28.6 | 12.5 | 40.0 | -0.33 | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| Kisa Lilly | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 42 | 2.3 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
| Madison Platt | - | 12 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -6 | -0.5 | -10.3 | 37.5 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -2.68 | 59.1 | 53.1 |
| Maddie Hall | - | 11 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | -7 | -0.7 | -30.7 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.91 | 55.2 | 53.3 |
| Remy Tolar | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 14 | 1.6 | 22.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Izzy Diaz | - | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -1.5 | -31.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.15 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Thomas | - | 5 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Ray | - | 7 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -26 | -1.6 | -75.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.91 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Ray Baniaga | - | 6 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Elayna Thomas | - | 11 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.2 | -9 | -0.9 | -26.2 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.4 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Ella Inacio | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG