Wayne St. (NE)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#317) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1042 (#208) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 982 (#486) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#104) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.0 (#237) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.395 (#403) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.644 (#232) | NetEff +4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.796 (#275) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.814 (#273) | AdjNet +12.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.673 (#274) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.545 (#265) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.650 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 992 (#261) | RD 109 | GP 13 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Michigan Tech | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Mary | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Minot St. | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 71 - 91 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Winona St. | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Davenport | W | 67 - 46 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Grand Valley St. | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 60 - 81 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 33.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 54.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 77.9 | 63.6 |
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 37.5 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Thompson | - | 5 | 30.2 | 19.4 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 14.6 | 14.8 | 101 | 4.8 | 15.1 | 50.7 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 4.13 | 56.8 | 52.7 |
| Anna Westby | - | 1 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 80.0 | -1.51 | 78.4 | 75.0 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 58.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Riley Jenkins | - | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | -53 | -2.3 | -10.0 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.03 | 80.5 | 75.0 |
| McKenna Ferguson | - | 5 | 29.1 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.6 | 11.4 | 112 | 5.3 | 17.2 | 47.9 | 46.7 | 78.6 | 1.92 | 62.2 | 55.2 |
| Emma Miller | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | -84 | -3.7 | -15.6 | 23.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.47 | 40.7 | 30.8 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.75 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Kylah vanDonkersgoed | - | 6 | 28.0 | 11.8 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 10.3 | 7.8 | -35 | -1.5 | -6.0 | 41.9 | 46.2 | 76.5 | 0.17 | 51.1 | 46.8 |
| Gabi Lutchka | - | 5 | 28.8 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 97 | 4.6 | 19.2 | 45.8 | 31.8 | 63.6 | -0.03 | 54.9 | 53.1 |
| Tenleigh Smith | - | 6 | 24.5 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 8.8 | 5.0 | -43 | -1.9 | -7.8 | 41.5 | 20.0 | 87.5 | 2.49 | 50.0 | 43.4 |
| Rachel Dahlen | - | 6 | 18.8 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 4.2 | -39 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 46.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 52.9 | 48.0 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 2.63 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaci Tubergen | - | 5 | 27.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 7.0 | 66 | 3.1 | 9.5 | 43.5 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.14 | 57.4 | 47.8 |
| Karrington Gordon | - | 5 | 18.8 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 76 | 3.6 | 14.1 | 41.2 | 23.1 | 66.7 | 1.47 | 46.7 | 45.6 |
| Kelsey Willems | - | 6 | 28.7 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 6.2 | -50 | -2.2 | -9.0 | 32.5 | 30.8 | 83.3 | -1.6 | 45.7 | 42.5 |
| Rayna Klejeski | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.67 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Emma Frost | - | 6 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 4.3 | -94 | -4.5 | -35.3 | 65.0 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -2.69 | 75.8 | 72.5 |
| Addy Johnson | - | 6 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -57 | -3.0 | -39.6 | 43.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | 0.0 | 61.9 | 54.3 |
| Meg Rietz | - | 6 | 22.4 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | -119 | -5.2 | -22.2 | 42.4 | 22.2 | 100.0 | -5.86 | 47.2 | 45.5 |
| Koko Sylvester | - | 5 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 21 | 1.1 | 15.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 87.5 | -2.12 | 59.9 | 50.0 |
| Sammie Allen | - | 6 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 | -60 | -4.0 | -30.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 54.5 | -0.25 | 38.1 | 33.3 |
| Annabel Ayrault | - | 5 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 81 | 4.0 | 27.4 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.4 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
| Mackenzie Miller | - | 5 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 18 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.34 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Lily Fitzgerald | - | 6 | 16.5 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.83 | 34.4 | 28.0 |
| Halle Winjum | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 2.21 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Emily Homan | - | 5 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 98 | 4.7 | 29.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.54 | 40.7 | 41.7 |
| Lexi Boyke | - | 5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 50 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.13 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Hope Dudycha | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | -65 | -2.8 | -18.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tayden Hanks | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -75 | -3.4 | -62.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.89 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| AJ Rickli | - | 4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | -18 | -1.1 | -33.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.04 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Cassie Allen | - | 6 | 19.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.3 | -0.5 | -66 | -3.1 | -15.9 | 15.0 | 9.1 | 50.0 | -0.36 | 19.2 | 17.5 |
| Nour Beydoun | - | 3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -7 | -0.7 | -16.9 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Ella Sharar | - | 4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -17 | -0.9 | -10.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 2.24 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Dirkes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Mikrot | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -1.6 | -18.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Pierson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -2.5 | -42.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Brynlea Mahlen | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -35 | -1.5 | -18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.49 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMaya Asberry | - | 5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Katelyn Diegnau | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -249.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG